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  PPP PA/CT/RI close on Democratic side, large Trump leads
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Author Topic: PPP PA/CT/RI close on Democratic side, large Trump leads  (Read 7725 times)
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jfern
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« on: April 25, 2016, 06:11:59 am »

Connecticut

Clinton 48, Sanders 46

Pennsylvania

Clinton 51, Sanders 41

Rhode Island

Sanders 49, Clinton 45




Connecticut

Trump 59, Kasich 25, Cruz 13


Pennsylvania

Trump 51, Cruz 25, Kasich 22


Rhode Island

Trump 61, Kasich 23, Cruz 13


http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/04/clinton-sanders-close-in-ctpari-trump-headed-for-big-wins.html
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #1 on: April 25, 2016, 06:12:58 am »

About where I thought it would be, however, I wouldn't call being down ten in Pennsylvania as close.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #2 on: April 25, 2016, 06:14:46 am »

Wow Trump is running away with this now.
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Skye
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« Reply #3 on: April 25, 2016, 06:16:23 am »

Would be pretty crazy if Trump carried them all with +50%
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4 on: April 25, 2016, 06:20:15 am »

These are by far the best polls for Sanders and TRUMP. Either PPP is onto something or they are going to have some 'splaining to do tomorrow.

P.S. Lol at Sanders winning RI because of his huge lead among conservative voters.
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cxs018
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« Reply #5 on: April 25, 2016, 06:27:05 am »

+10 is close?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: April 25, 2016, 06:27:41 am »

So Bernie might actually win something tomorrow? Cool.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #7 on: April 25, 2016, 06:28:24 am »


It is relative to other polls.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #8 on: April 25, 2016, 06:28:44 am »

Connecticut
2-way race:

Trump 70%
Cruz 21%

Trump 63%
Kasich 31%

Kasich 56%
Cruz 24%

Trump supporters have a net positive favorable opinion of Kasich, but every other candidateís supporters have a net negative opinion of the other two Republican candidates.  While Trumpís leading the race, for example, 66% of Cruz supporters have an unfavorable opinion of him, as do 66% of Kasich supporters.

Pennsylvania
2-way race:

Trump 58%
Cruz 33%

Trump 57%
Kasich 37%

Kasich 44%
Cruz 34%

Same issue with candidate favorability here.  Except this time, itís Cruz supporters who (barely) have a favorable opinion of Kasich, while everyone else supporters dislike any candidate theyíre not supporting.

Rhode Island
2-way race:

Trump 72%
Cruz 20%

Trump 63%
Kasich 31%

Kasich 55%
Cruz 24%

And, like in PA, Cruz supporters OK with Kasich.  Everyone else dislikes everyone else.
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Ritchie Valens
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« Reply #9 on: April 25, 2016, 06:35:17 am »

How many delegates would Trump secure tomorrow if those are the results?
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« Reply #10 on: April 25, 2016, 06:35:35 am »

Color me skeptical on the GOP side.  The Democratic numbers are believable, though I wouldn't be surprised if Clinton outperforms this.
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dax00
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« Reply #11 on: April 25, 2016, 06:50:54 am »

How many delegates would Trump secure tomorrow if those are the results?
Almost certain 28/28 in CT, 17/17 in PA and 10/19 in RI.
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A Perez
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« Reply #12 on: April 25, 2016, 06:58:57 am »

PA isn't close. PPP lied. Their poll shows Clinton ahead by 10%.
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Figueira
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« Reply #13 on: April 25, 2016, 07:03:30 am »

I'm surprised Connecticut is so close, although I guess I shouldn't be too surprised.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #14 on: April 25, 2016, 07:23:49 am »

How many delegates would Trump secure tomorrow if those are the results?
Almost certain 28/28 in CT, 17/17 in PA and 10/19 in RI.

Plus 16/16 in DE, 14/14 At-Large for MD, plus 18/24 as a conservative guess for the CD's in MD.

That brings Trump to 103 delegates from tomorrow, plus 54 of the unbound from PA which he's going to pick up a bunch of. Looking at a net gain off 100 delegates for Trump tomorrow.
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PeteB
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« Reply #15 on: April 25, 2016, 07:32:10 am »

Brown University poll had Trump in the 30s in RI and this one has him above 60 there - somebody will be very embarrassed tomorrow.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #16 on: April 25, 2016, 07:40:46 am »

Lol Lyin' Ted is turning into Losin' Ted.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #17 on: April 25, 2016, 08:00:12 am »

Brown University poll had Trump in the 30s in RI and this one has him above 60 there - somebody will be very embarrassed tomorrow.

Those Brown University polls were obvious trash.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #18 on: April 25, 2016, 08:22:50 am »

New Poll: Rhode Island President by Public Policy Polling on 2016-04-24

Summary:
Sanders:
49%
Clinton:
45%
Other:
0%
Undecided:
6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Dave Leip
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« Reply #19 on: April 25, 2016, 08:23:50 am »

New Poll: Rhode Island President by Public Policy Polling on 2016-04-24

Summary:
Trump:
61%
Kasich:
23%
Cruz:
13%
Other:
1%
Undecided:
2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Dave Leip
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« Reply #20 on: April 25, 2016, 08:24:47 am »

New Poll: Connecticut President by Public Policy Polling on 2016-04-24

Summary:
Trump:
59%
Kasich:
25%
Cruz:
13%
Other:
0%
Undecided:
3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Dave Leip
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« Reply #21 on: April 25, 2016, 08:25:58 am »

New Poll: Connecticut President by Public Policy Polling on 2016-04-24

Summary:
Clinton:
48%
Sanders:
46%
Other:
0%
Undecided:
6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Dave Leip
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« Reply #22 on: April 25, 2016, 08:27:31 am »

New Poll: Pennsylvania President by Public Policy Polling on 2016-04-24

Summary:
Clinton:
51%
Sanders:
41%
Other:
-1%
Undecided:
9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Dave Leip
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« Reply #23 on: April 25, 2016, 08:28:43 am »

New Poll: Pennsylvania President by Public Policy Polling on 2016-04-24

Summary:
Trump:
51%
Cruz:
25%
Kasich:
22%
Other:
-1%
Undecided:
3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #24 on: April 25, 2016, 08:59:51 am »
« Edited: April 25, 2016, 10:11:18 am by john cage bubblegum »

If PPP is about right, could Cruz be in danger of not clearing the 10% threshold for a delegate in the RI 1st congressional district?  I'm assuming that would be the district he'd do worse in.
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