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| | | |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
| | | | |-+  IN-NBC/WSJ/Marist: D: Clinton 50% Sanders 46%; R: Trump 49% Cruz 34% Kasich 13%
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Author Topic: IN-NBC/WSJ/Marist: D: Clinton 50% Sanders 46%; R: Trump 49% Cruz 34% Kasich 13%  (Read 4936 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: May 01, 2016, 08:04:35 am »

NBC/WSJ/Marist poll of Indiana:

http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/donald-trump-leads-cruz-15-points-crucial-indiana-race-n565356


« Last Edit: May 01, 2016, 08:06:58 am by Mr. Morden »Logged

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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1 on: May 01, 2016, 08:04:52 am »

Count me as a Hillary supporter till November.
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7.35, 3.65

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OkThen
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« Reply #2 on: May 01, 2016, 08:07:27 am »

Keep in mind they way underestimated Trump and overestimated Cruz in their last PA poll (then again,  every poll did I think.)
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RR1997
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« Reply #3 on: May 01, 2016, 08:07:33 am »

My Indiana ratings:
Safe Trump
Safe Sanders
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PM Economic: +1.03
PM Social:  -3.83

Hillary Clinton 2016
Michael Bloomberg 2016
Mr. Morden
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« Reply #4 on: May 01, 2016, 08:11:14 am »

More:

http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/NEWS/NBC%20NewsWSJMarist.pdf
http://www.wsj.com/articles/donald-trump-holds-15-point-lead-ahead-of-republican-rivals-in-indiana-poll-1462107603

2nd choices:
Kasich 39%
Cruz 31%
Trump 18%

If you reallocate Kasich’s 2nd choices to create a hypothetical 2-man race, it’s:

Trump 53%
Cruz 42%
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Volrath50
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« Reply #5 on: May 01, 2016, 08:12:26 am »

RIP in Peace #Nevertrump.
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« Reply #6 on: May 01, 2016, 08:16:07 am »

Goodbye to #NeverTrump and Adieu to Cruz-Fiorina
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Holmes
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« Reply #7 on: May 01, 2016, 08:42:31 am »

Count me as a Hillary supporter till November.

I think this is the first time we support the same candidate/party (although I would probably more often than not support the Liberal Party of Quebec).
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #8 on: May 01, 2016, 09:00:02 am »

Good to see that Bernie is still competetive in some states, even though voters might get the impression now that it's already over and start supporting Hillary in higher numbers ... but that seems not to be the case though.
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A Perez
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« Reply #9 on: May 01, 2016, 09:05:44 am »

Good to see that Bernie is still competetive in some states, even though voters might get the impression now that it's already over and start supporting Hillary in higher numbers ... but that seems not to be the case though.
Being competitive is not enough. Bernie must win by huge margins if he wants to be the nominee.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #10 on: May 01, 2016, 09:08:13 am »

Good to see that Bernie is still competetive in some states, even though voters might get the impression now that it's already over and start supporting Hillary in higher numbers ... but that seems not to be the case though.
Being competitive is not enough. Bernie must win by huge margins if he wants to be the nominee.

That's virtually impossible now because of the idiotic superdelegates who are blindly loyal to their beloved princess ...
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Donnie
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« Reply #11 on: May 01, 2016, 09:11:35 am »

Good to see that Bernie is still competetive in some states, even though voters might get the impression now that it's already over and start supporting Hillary in higher numbers ... but that seems not to be the case though.
Being competitive is not enough. Bernie must win by huge margins if he wants to be the nominee.

That's virtually impossible now because of the idiotic superdelegates who are blindly loyal to their beloved princess ...

She is rather an beloved old, currupt, establishment toad.
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Hydera
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« Reply #12 on: May 01, 2016, 09:13:06 am »

Good to see that Bernie is still competetive in some states, even though voters might get the impression now that it's already over and start supporting Hillary in higher numbers ... but that seems not to be the case though.
Being competitive is not enough. Bernie must win by huge margins if he wants to be the nominee.

That's virtually impossible now because of the idiotic superdelegates who are blindly loyal to their beloved princess ...

Bernie is losing even amongst non super delegates.

Her margin is double that of obama's delegate lead in 2008.




« Last Edit: May 01, 2016, 09:18:47 am by ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°) »Logged

dspNY
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« Reply #13 on: May 01, 2016, 09:15:44 am »

We should have a CBS YouGov poll too since they polled Indiana last week on both sides
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pppolitics
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« Reply #14 on: May 01, 2016, 09:16:52 am »

Bye bye, Cruz.

Don't let the door hit you on the way out.
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MK
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« Reply #15 on: May 01, 2016, 09:23:42 am »

Cruz still wont drop out i bet.
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DemPGH
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« Reply #16 on: May 01, 2016, 09:37:41 am »

For Trump, that would be the knockout! I hope, I hope, I hope. Grin

A lot of polls seem to be showing him in the very upper 40s and possibly improving overall as well. I also happen to believe in the "enthusiasm edge" if it's really obvious or lopsided, and he also seems to have that pretty clearly.
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Economic: -5.03
Social: -8.35

Eraserhead
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« Reply #17 on: May 01, 2016, 09:39:15 am »

Wow, the Democratic race might give us something interesting to follow on Tuesday.

Looks like Cruz is done for though. Good riddance!
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Ronnie
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« Reply #18 on: May 01, 2016, 09:50:39 am »

Wow!  Looks like the Republican race is finally over.  Will Trump sweep every CD if this result holds?

Nate Silver and Harry Enten must be reeling right now.
« Last Edit: May 01, 2016, 09:56:09 am by Ronnie »Logged

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ExtremeConservative
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« Reply #19 on: May 01, 2016, 09:51:45 am »

If this poll is at all accurate (and it might not because it's also a major outlier in the Senate primary), RIP conservative movement.  A Trump win in Indiana would be the worst day in America in years.
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Can we have a real Christian conservative president instead of having our party go down the road of populism and nationalism, with strains of liberal-tarianism?  Let the loss of the House be a lesson that we need to return to the party of Marco Rubio, Nikki Haley, Tim Scott, Rick Santorum, and Bill Lee.  We need a bold and optimistic vision for this country that embraces Christian values!

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« Reply #20 on: May 01, 2016, 09:55:28 am »

Good to see that Bernie is still competetive in some states, even though voters might get the impression now that it's already over and start supporting Hillary in higher numbers ... but that seems not to be the case though.
Being competitive is not enough. Bernie must win by huge margins if he wants to be the nominee.

That's virtually impossible now because of the idiotic superdelegates who are blindly loyal to their beloved princess ...

The super delegates aren't going to shift the race, because they will vote for the pledged delegate leader regardless of who it is.
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« Reply #21 on: May 01, 2016, 10:19:40 am »

Wow!  Looks like the Republican race is finally over.  Will Trump sweep every CD if this result holds?

Nate Silver and Harry Enten must be reeling right now.

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Lyin' Steve
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« Reply #22 on: May 01, 2016, 10:46:55 am »

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Maxwell
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« Reply #23 on: May 01, 2016, 10:51:08 am »

I like how the three candidates left were given a 9% chance by Nate, 10% chance by Katherine, and a -1% chance by Harry. lolz
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #24 on: May 01, 2016, 11:03:47 am »

Why are some people surprised by the Dem numbers? They are exactly the same like in every other respectable poll.
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