IN-NBC/WSJ-Marist: All Republicans ahead of Clinton
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  IN-NBC/WSJ-Marist: All Republicans ahead of Clinton
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Author Topic: IN-NBC/WSJ-Marist: All Republicans ahead of Clinton  (Read 2351 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« on: May 01, 2016, 08:09:35 AM »

Trump (R) vs. Clinton (D): 48%-41% (R+7)
Cruz (R) vs. Clinton (D): 50%-43% (R+7)
Kasich (R) vs. Clinton (D): 56%-39% (R+17)

Trump (R) vs. Sanders (D): 47%-46% (R+1)
Sanders (D) vs. Cruz (R): 48%-45% (D+3)
Kasich (R) vs. Sanders (D): 47%-46% (R+1)

http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/donald-trump-leads-cruz-15-points-crucial-indiana-race-n565356
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RR1997
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« Reply #1 on: May 01, 2016, 08:12:45 AM »
« Edited: August 24, 2016, 07:58:30 PM by RR1997 »

Not surprising.

Indiana is a safe R state. Hillary has a better chance of winning Wyoming than Indiana.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #2 on: May 01, 2016, 08:51:33 AM »

Good numbers for Bernie.

Hillary still polling like crap, as usual.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #3 on: May 01, 2016, 08:52:45 AM »

Cruz doesn't seem to be doing any better vs. Hillary than TRUMP anymore.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #4 on: May 01, 2016, 09:57:31 AM »

Bernie!
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Holmes
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« Reply #5 on: May 01, 2016, 10:10:11 AM »

Good numbers for Bernie.

Hillary still polling like crap, as usual.

Except against Bernie lol
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dspNY
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« Reply #6 on: May 01, 2016, 10:26:08 AM »

Good numbers for Bernie.

Hillary still polling like crap, as usual.

Easier to prefer a candidate you will never actually have to vote for in November (see Kasich)
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #7 on: May 01, 2016, 11:21:58 AM »

If Trump is the nominee, we have a YUGE chance at electing John Gregg.  Trump will bring out Dem-leaning working class voters who hate Hillary but would vote for Gregg over Pence.

GO TRUMP!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: May 01, 2016, 11:30:33 AM »

Good numbers for Bernie.

Hillary still polling like crap, as usual.

Clinton has help onto the 272 blue wall pretty well with Latino support in SW and Black support in Philly.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #9 on: May 01, 2016, 01:06:38 PM »

If Trump is the nominee, we have a YUGE chance at electing John Gregg.  Trump will bring out Dem-leaning working class voters who hate Hillary but would vote for Gregg over Pence.

GO TRUMP!


Just like Trump voters are helping Marlin Stutzman and Jonathan McConnell? lol
Southern Indiana has a LOT of Blue Dog type Democrats.  Gregg won a handful of counties there last time and he could win a few more if he's more serious about his campaign than he was last time.
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standwrand
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« Reply #10 on: May 01, 2016, 01:35:21 PM »

If Trump is the nominee, we have a YUGE chance at electing John Gregg.  Trump will bring out Dem-leaning working class voters who hate Hillary but would vote for Gregg over Pence.

GO TRUMP!


Just like Trump voters are helping Marlin Stutzman and Jonathan McConnell? lol
Southern Indiana has a LOT of Blue Dog type Democrats.  Gregg won a handful of counties there last time and he could win a few more if he's more serious about his campaign than he was last time.


aren't you supposed to be a Republican??
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IceSpear
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« Reply #11 on: May 01, 2016, 02:54:58 PM »

Good numbers for Bernie.

Hillary still polling like crap, as usual.

Uh...you realize this poll shows her doing better than Obama did in 2012, right?
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #12 on: May 01, 2016, 02:56:52 PM »

If Trump is the nominee, we have a YUGE chance at electing John Gregg.  Trump will bring out Dem-leaning working class voters who hate Hillary but would vote for Gregg over Pence.

GO TRUMP!


Just like Trump voters are helping Marlin Stutzman and Jonathan McConnell? lol
Southern Indiana has a LOT of Blue Dog type Democrats.  Gregg won a handful of counties there last time and he could win a few more if he's more serious about his campaign than he was last time.


aren't you supposed to be a Republican??
Yes, I'm a Republican-leaning Independent, which is why I'm voting against Mike Pence.  He's destroyed the legacy of Mitch Daniels to advance his Holy Roller crusade.
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standwrand
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« Reply #13 on: May 01, 2016, 02:58:05 PM »

aren't you supposed to be a Republican??
Yes, I'm a Republican-leaning Independent, which is why I'm voting against Mike Pence.  He's destroyed the legacy of Mitch Daniels to advance his Holy Roller crusade.


but yet you are endorsing Marlin Stutzman??
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #14 on: May 01, 2016, 02:59:50 PM »

aren't you supposed to be a Republican??
Yes, I'm a Republican-leaning Independent, which is why I'm voting against Mike Pence.  He's destroyed the legacy of Mitch Daniels to advance his Holy Roller crusade.


but yet you are endorsing Marlin Stutzman??
That's the beauty of being an Independent.  I can endorse whomever I want. Cheesy
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #15 on: May 01, 2016, 03:41:20 PM »

Good numbers for Bernie.

Hillary still polling like crap, as usual.

Clinton has help onto the 272 blue wall pretty well with Latino support in SW and Black support in Philly.

Beep boop. Beep boop.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #16 on: May 01, 2016, 09:40:45 PM »

Winning Indiana by 7 means that Trump or Cruz will be losing the US as a whole by 5-6%. Indiana really does swing in elections; Republicans can win it in normal years by anything from about 3% to about 20%. (Going for Obama in 2008 was something of a fluke; the RV industry, whose workers are comparatively conservative, turned against Republicans when their market was hit by a combination of a credit crunch, sky-high gas prices, and as general downturn in the economy... and Obama campaigned in Indiana as if he needed the state). Obama lost the state in 2012 by about 10% because the economic triple-whammy was no longer in effect (he would have lost the state by about 20% had even one of the components of the triple-whammy were in effect in 2012) and because he could not campaign in Indiana. 

On the other side, if the Democratic nominee is winning Rhode Island (which is about as D as Indiana is R) by 7%, then the Democratic nominee is losing by about 5# nationwide.

Indiana does swing, but it almost always remains just out of reach of a Democratic nominee.

Or even more simply, Indiana is about 8% more Republican than Ohio, and if the Republican isn't winning Indiana by a double-digit margin, then he is also losing Ohio. 
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