Vosem
Atlas Icon
Posts: 15,637
Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09
|
 |
« on: May 02, 2016, 05:21:53 PM » |
|
On the contrary; I think this poll shows that the scenario of Clinton/Portman is much likelier than Trump/Strickland. First of all, at least in terms of margin, Portman does better than all the non-Kasich presidential matchups; while Portman and Strickland have similar favorabilities (-8 and -9, respectively), Strickland is better known and more defined (21% no opinion; 28% for Portman).
Also, just in general, Portman has been fundraising much stronger than Strickland, and there's been a general pattern of old ex-Governors coming back to run for the Senate and losing in recent years.
I think Trump/Strickland is an impossible scenario. Trump wins only if something terrible happens to the Hillary campaign, and anything that terrible will probably have Democrats collapsing up and down the ballot. Clinton/Portman is likely, Clinton/Strickland is definitely possible; Trump/Portman is extremely unlikely but the path to it exists. There's no path that leads to Trump/Strickland.
|
