I think, this election at least, Ohio and Florida move in opposite directions.
I agree. Hispanics hate Trump with a fire of a thousand suns (even the Cubans). Hillary will also do better with Jewish retirees in South Florida than Obama. I think Florida votes to the left of Ohio this time, possibly by a substantial amount (5-7 points). Trump will lose the entire I-4, including Tampa and Orlando, get massacred in South Florida, and there are not enough whites in the Panhandle and North Florida to make up the difference.
Ohio will just be a more polarized version of itself in previous years. She will peel off just enough votes in Cleveland and Columbus to edge it. In fact, I think North Carolina is actually a marginally better state for Clinton (forget about Virginia, it is Likely Dem) than Ohio.
