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  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  CA - SurveyUSA: Trump and Clinton dominate
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Author Topic: CA - SurveyUSA: Trump and Clinton dominate  (Read 3515 times)
Joe Republic
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« Reply #25 on: May 02, 2016, 09:42:00 pm »

Looks like the Sanders subreddit needs to start making those phone calls 24/7

If each redditor phones three Californian voters at a time, round the clock between now and June 7th, Bernie might just be able to pull off the 106% of the vote he needs.
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Lyin' Steve
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« Reply #26 on: May 02, 2016, 09:59:28 pm »

How funny would it be if Hillary made Bernie nonviable in California?  The final insult!
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #27 on: May 02, 2016, 10:44:21 pm »
« Edited: May 02, 2016, 10:45:56 pm by psychprofessor »

How sad for Bernie supporters in California that they view Donald Trump more favorably than Hillary Clinton.

Bernie supporters view of Hillary fav/unfav = 17/81
Bernie supporters view of Trump fav/unfav = 46/36

Seriously, Bernie supporters actually give Trump a +10 favorable rating. Awful.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #28 on: May 02, 2016, 11:28:16 pm »

How sad for Bernie supporters in California that they view Donald Trump more favorably than Hillary Clinton.

Bernie supporters view of Hillary fav/unfav = 17/81
Bernie supporters view of Trump fav/unfav = 46/36

Seriously, Bernie supporters actually give Trump a +10 favorable rating. Awful.

Bernie's support is down to the deranged angry white male fringe at this point. Not surprising that these whackos prefer Trump.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #29 on: May 02, 2016, 11:30:28 pm »

How sad for Bernie supporters in California that they view Donald Trump more favorably than Hillary Clinton.

Bernie supporters view of Hillary fav/unfav = 17/81
Bernie supporters view of Trump fav/unfav = 46/36

Seriously, Bernie supporters actually give Trump a +10 favorable rating. Awful.

This doesn't match any other polling/exit polls we've seen so far.
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Nhoj
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« Reply #30 on: May 03, 2016, 02:43:17 am »

How sad for Bernie supporters in California that they view Donald Trump more favorably than Hillary Clinton.

Bernie supporters view of Hillary fav/unfav = 17/81
Bernie supporters view of Trump fav/unfav = 46/36

Seriously, Bernie supporters actually give Trump a +10 favorable rating. Awful.
Except that they don't because you didn't read the table right. 46% of the 9% of Dem voters who view trump favorably are bernie supporters. 
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IceSpear
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« Reply #31 on: May 03, 2016, 02:54:33 am »

The crosstabs on the Dem side look pretty off. Hillary's best racial group being whites? Her best region being the Bay Area? Uh, okay...
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Ronnie
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« Reply #32 on: May 03, 2016, 02:59:09 am »

SurveyUSA is notorious, going all the way back to the 2008 cycle, for having ridiculous crosstabs coupled with accurate toplines.  I don't know how that works, but it does, somehow.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #33 on: May 03, 2016, 03:19:04 am »

Does anyone really think that Clinton is going to win a semi-closed primary in California by more than she won a closed primary in New York in the end? I doubt it.

As for Cruz, his support may be collapsing.
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Chief Justice Keef
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« Reply #34 on: May 03, 2016, 08:30:48 am »

As for Cruz, his support may be collapsing.

He dug his own grave with his arrogant shenanigans. After he got trashed last week in the NE, no one's taking him seriously anymore. And I don't see him winning anywhere else besides Nebraska and maybe Montana.

Hopefully his lying ass drops out after Indiana, I'm getting sick of hearing about him.
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Holmes
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« Reply #35 on: May 03, 2016, 10:25:59 am »
« Edited: May 03, 2016, 10:30:17 am by Holmes »

Does anyone really think that Clinton is going to win a semi-closed primary in California by more than she won a closed primary in New York in the end? I doubt it.

As for Cruz, his support may be collapsing.

There are more non-whites in California, to be fair. She'll probably get NYC or Philly numbers in LA county, and the Bay Area isn't all Marin and Berkley so it won't be the Sanders blowout some people are thinking it'll be. Oakland, Solano, Napa, even Yolo should be Clinton territory.
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Hydera
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« Reply #36 on: May 03, 2016, 10:46:31 am »

Hillary will probably get 20% margins in SoCal. And Bernie gets 20% margins in NorCal where its white and voted like the mountain west back in 2008 for Obama.  Meanwhile Bay Area will be close due to Asians and White Liberals for Bernie and White suburbanites and blacks/hispanics for Hillary.

Problem for Bernie is that rural NorCal is too unpopulated it wont makeup for losing big in SoCal.

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MisSkeptic
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« Reply #37 on: May 03, 2016, 10:48:47 am »

It wouldn't surprise me if either Trump and/or Hillary come out on top in California. However, I wouldn't dismiss a Sanders victory either.
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L.D. Smith
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« Reply #38 on: May 03, 2016, 11:36:11 am »

Does anyone really think that Clinton is going to win a semi-closed primary in California by more than she won a closed primary in New York in the end? I doubt it.

As for Cruz, his support may be collapsing.

There are more non-whites in California, to be fair. She'll probably get NYC or Philly numbers in LA county, and the Bay Area isn't all Marin and Berkley so it won't be the Sanders blowout some people are thinking it'll be. Oakland, Solano, Napa, even Yolo should be Clinton territory.

Oakland's definitely Clinton territory thanks to a little thing called the black vote, amazing how people keep forgetting that when discussing Bay Area politics, especially since they were the dominant minority until just a few years ago [and probably the vote that kept Alameda in the blue through the '80's]. That little tid bit is what will put Clinton over the top once factoring in every other thing.


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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #39 on: May 03, 2016, 03:46:12 pm »

Does anyone really think that Clinton is going to win a semi-closed primary in California by more than she won a closed primary in New York in the end? I doubt it.

As for Cruz, his support may be collapsing.

There are more non-whites in California, to be fair. She'll probably get NYC or Philly numbers in LA county, and the Bay Area isn't all Marin and Berkley so it won't be the Sanders blowout some people are thinking it'll be. Oakland, Solano, Napa, even Yolo should be Clinton territory.

Yolo County resident. I doubt that it'll go for Hillary. There's too many college students and liberals in Davis for it to go to Clinton. Solano and Alameda (Oakland) definitely will vote for Hillary though, and Napa wouldn't surprise me if it does as well.
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