CNN releases first battleground map for Clinton vs. Trump

[MT Treasurer]

Clinton 237
Trump 191

LOL@New Hampshire. Looks like the media is still insisting that it's a swing state.

http://edition.cnn.com/2016/05/03/politics/road-to-270-electoral-college-map/

[Tender Branson]

They forgot to colour UT green on that map.

[LLR]

*flips out about South Carolina*

[standwrand]

lol @ WI being a swing state w Trump

[100% pro-life no matter what]

*flips out about South Carolina*

Is every poster going to have a pet trending state (you with SC, a certain poster with NH (who is largely right, even if it is funny).  I declare that Iowa will vote for Trump and over the next few cycles will become a safe Republican state.

[Figueira]

*flips out about South Carolina*

Is every poster going to have a pet trending state (you with SC, a certain poster with NH (who is largely right, even if it is funny).  I declare that Iowa will vote for Trump and over the next few cycles will become a safe Republican state.

I'm debating on whether Alaska or Mississippi should be my obsession.

[Holmes]

This battleground map is really favorable for Trump, but CNN has to have their horserace narrative, even after releasing a poll with Clinton up 13%.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Clinton 237
Trump 191

LOL@New Hampshire. Looks like the media is still insisting that it's a swing state.

http://edition.cnn.com/2016/05/03/politics/road-to-270-electoral-college-map/

Trump has polled closer to Clinton in NH than VA or WI.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I see 272 as leaning Dem right now. Everything  else is secondary

[Mallow]

Of their tossups, my prediction has the following list voting MORE democratic than PA, which I have at D+5.42:
NV (D+19.81)
[CT (D+19.36)]
[OR (D+19.35)]
[NJ (D+17.91)]
[ME (D+17.27)]
CO (D+14.97)
[MI (D+11.73)]
WI (D+10.06)
NH (D+7.75)
VA (D+7.67)
[MN (D+7.56)]
IA (D+7.29)

That only leaves these closer on the D side than PA:
FL (D+4.08)
OH (D+3.03)
NC (D+1.17)

Additionally, I have AZ (R+1.19) being closer than PA, and more fitting of the tossup category. And I have TX (R+6.05) and MT (R+7.29) being closer than GA (R+7.30), and IN (R+7.51) being close as well.


But of course, I could be wrong, and CNN could be right.

[user12345]

lol Wisconsin.

[Tender Branson]

This battleground map is really favorable for Trump, but CNN has to have their horserace narrative, even after releasing a poll with Clinton up 13%.

Polls can change a lot, see our Presidential election. Center-leftist VdB led by 13% in the final polls before the election, but lost by 14% on election day to the far-right populist Hofer.

Clinton won't win by 13, probably not even by 7 or 8%.

[Xing]

NV and WI are not toss-ups, especially with Little Donny as the nominee.

[Vega]

You can't square this map with the fact that in a CNN poll, Clinton is running 10+ points ahead of Trump.

This is the same "battleground" map that they had in the beginning of 2012, and before and after that. This is the generic, go-to map. It isn't this close at all, and they know it.

[Baki]

I would colour Nevada, Wisconsin and New Hampshire the same as PA and MI.
That's our starting map.

[Crumpets]

Yeah, this is as unclear and inconsistent as polling gets:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/wi/wisconsin_trump_vs_clinton-5659.html

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2016#Wisconsin

[Likely Voter]

This is probably accurate in terms of where the two sides are prepping to battle it out.  In a sense battleground is a function of where real money is spent.  If the GOP make a play for WI, MI or PA then they are "battleground" same with Dems for GA or AZ.   However, the above map is certainly not a current map of "tossup" states,especially in light of CNNs latest poll.

[Comrade Funk]

CNN will probably call the race "close" even if Hillary is up by 20 just for ratings

[Nyvin]

If Minnesota is safe D, then Michigan really should be too.

[Xing]

B-b-b-but WI must be a toss-up because it was so close in 2000 and 2004 and muh home boy Walker and THREE TIMES IN FOUR YEARS!!!

[Illiniwek]

CNN will probably call the race "close" even if Hillary is up by 20 just for ratings

[Rules for me, but not for thee]

NH could be 20% libertarian votes, making it very much a swing state.

[7,052,770]

NH could be 20% libertarian votes, making it very much a swing state.

No, it would be something like Hillary 50, Trump 30, Johnson 20 in that case. Democrats aren't going to vote Libertarian in large numbers.

[Niemeyerite]

This is just a generic battleground map. 

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

LOL@New Hampshire. Looks like the media is still insisting that it's a swing state.

We can't take angry women votes for granted.