WV-MetroNews: Sanders +4, Trump +32

[MT Treasurer]

Democrats

Bernie Sanders: 47%
Hillary Clinton: 43%

Republicans

Donald Trump: 57%
Ted Cruz: 25%
John Kasich: 14%

http://wvmetronews.com/2016/05/06/overwhelming-support-for-trump-lead-for-sanders-in-metronews-west-virginia-poll/

[Matty]

Even if cruz and kasich were still in, I think this underestimated trump

It also underestimates sanders, but then again, the coal workers that never stopped being democrats probably have an affinity for the clinton name.

[Fusionmunster]

Dang, maybe there was a reason Hillary went to WV. Her internals might show this as winnable.

[Xing]

Maybe Hillary will win here after all!

[IceSpear]

This is the same pollster that had Bernie up like 30 points in February. Why in god's name would he collapse that badly? Unless their first poll was just junk.

Also, protest votes are definitely getting more than 10%.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sanders will win remaining states except Puerto Rico, DC, Jersey, NM & CA

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Sanders will win remaining states except Puerto Rico, DC, Jersey, NM & CA

LOL at the idea that Bernie would win KY and lose CA.
Or the idea that he'd win the Virgin Islands and lose Puerto Rico.

[Alcon]

Sanders will win remaining states except Puerto Rico, DC, Jersey, NM & CA

LOL at the idea that Bernie would win KY and lose CA.
Or the idea that he'd win the Virgin Islands and lose Puerto Rico.

Why do you think that would be so surprising?  Hasn't Kentucky been fairly consistently more favorable to Sanders in both polling and demographic analyses?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Sanders will win remaining states except Puerto Rico, DC, Jersey, NM & CA

LOL at the idea that Bernie would win KY and lose CA.
Or the idea that he'd win the Virgin Islands and lose Puerto Rico.

Why do you think that would be so surprising?  Hasn't Kentucky been fairly consistently trump gave more favorable to Sanders in both polling and demographic analyses?trump gave

Kentucky is almost as bad as NY in that non Democrats had to change to being a Democrat last year in order to vote in the primary. California independents can vote Democratic but not Republican, and those registered in another party still have 17 days to change. Also, neighboring counties of KY aren't promising,

[Alcon]

Sanders will win remaining states except Puerto Rico, DC, Jersey, NM & CA

LOL at the idea that Bernie would win KY and lose CA.
Or the idea that he'd win the Virgin Islands and lose Puerto Rico.

Why do you think that would be so surprising?  Hasn't Kentucky been fairly consistently trump gave more favorable to Sanders in both polling and demographic analyses?trump gave

Kentucky is almost as bad as NY in that non Democrats had to change to being a Democrat last year in order to vote in the primary. California independents can vote Democratic but not Republican, and those registered in another party still have 17 days to change. Also, neighboring counties of KY aren't promising,

OK, but you do realize that the vast majority of people participating in Democratic primaries are long-time registered voters?  It's not like the primary results have mainly been a function of registration laws.  And I agree that neighboring counties in Kentucky are not promising.  But polling results and demographics in California aren't promising, either.

[Ronnie]

The poll sucks, guys.  It was conducted over 10 days.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Sanders will win remaining states except Puerto Rico, DC, Jersey, NM & CA

LOL at the idea that Bernie would win KY and lose CA.
Or the idea that he'd win the Virgin Islands and lose Puerto Rico.

Why do you think that would be so surprising?  Hasn't Kentucky been fairly consistently more favorable to Sanders in both polling and demographic analyses?

It's why Clinton will win both KY and CA

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Sanders will win remaining states except Puerto Rico, DC, Jersey, NM & CA

LOL at the idea that Bernie would win KY and lose CA.
Or the idea that he'd win the Virgin Islands and lose Puerto Rico.

A little thing we like to call coal

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Sanders will win remaining states except Puerto Rico, DC, Jersey, NM & CA

LOL at the idea that Bernie would win KY and lose CA.
Or the idea that he'd win the Virgin Islands and lose Puerto Rico.

Why do you think that would be so surprising?  Hasn't Kentucky been fairly consistently trump gave more favorable to Sanders in both polling and demographic analyses?trump gave

Kentucky is almost as bad as NY in that non Democrats had to change to being a Democrat last year in order to vote in the primary. California independents can vote Democratic but not Republican, and those registered in another party still have 17 days to change. Also, neighboring counties of KY aren't promising,

OK, but you do realize that the vast majority of people participating in Democratic primaries are long-time registered voters?  It's not like the primary results have mainly been a function of registration laws.

There definitely is a correlation between ability for new democrats/independents to vote and how well Sanders does, given that, outside of the south, he always wins new D's and independents by wide margins.

[Eraserhead]

Their old Sanders +28 poll almost ended up being more accurate than this one.

[Alcon]

Sanders will win remaining states except Puerto Rico, DC, Jersey, NM & CA

LOL at the idea that Bernie would win KY and lose CA.
Or the idea that he'd win the Virgin Islands and lose Puerto Rico.

Why do you think that would be so surprising?  Hasn't Kentucky been fairly consistently trump gave more favorable to Sanders in both polling and demographic analyses?trump gave

Kentucky is almost as bad as NY in that non Democrats had to change to being a Democrat last year in order to vote in the primary. California independents can vote Democratic but not Republican, and those registered in another party still have 17 days to change. Also, neighboring counties of KY aren't promising,

OK, but you do realize that the vast majority of people participating in Democratic primaries are long-time registered voters?  It's not like the primary results have mainly been a function of registration laws.

There definitely is a correlation between ability for new democrats/independents to vote and how well Sanders does, given that, outside of the south, he always wins new D's and independents by wide margins.

Yeah, that's not at odds with what I'm saying.  I'm not saying it's not a factor; I'm saying it's not the primary factor.  Also, I was arguing that recently-registered or recently-changed voters aren't a particularly big part of the electorate.