GOP target map (user search)
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Author Topic: GOP target map  (Read 3497 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« on: May 07, 2016, 02:11:04 PM »

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https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/status/728963011579256834

Glad that they finally realized that NH is not a swing state! Cheesy RIP Kelly Ayotte Sad
LOL@Minnesota, though.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,276
United States


« Reply #1 on: May 13, 2019, 04:47:23 PM »
« Edited: May 13, 2019, 05:00:17 PM by IA less likely to flip than OH/TX/FL/GA/NC/AZ »

They only got MN and ME-02 wrong. FYI, this was the Democratic target map back then:

Quote
NEW YORK — Democrats aligned with Hillary Clinton are laying the groundwork for a general election campaign focused primarily on the same battleground states that twice elected President Barack Obama, buying up ad time on local TV in an attempt to quietly shape the playing field before the Republicans choose a candidate.

The 2016 electoral map being drawn by pro-Clinton forces, according to ad reservations and interviews with high-level strategists and pollsters on both sides of the aisle, begins with a core group of familiar presidential swing states at the center of the fight — Florida, Ohio, New Hampshire, Nevada, Iowa, Virginia, and Colorado — with roughly a half-dozen other states on the periphery.

Those other states — which include Wisconsin, New Mexico, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, all perceived to be leaning toward the Democrats, and North Carolina, where the GOP is likely to begin with an edge — are thought to be competitive, though not yet at the point where they stand likely to flip their 2012 presidential vote in November.

And while operatives on both sides agree that Donald Trump, as the Republican nominee, could put more states in play on both sides, Clinton’s allies are for now putting their money on the traditional battlegrounds — not the rust-belt states where Trump insists he can steal Democratic votes, or traditionally red, but diverse, states like Arizona and Georgia where Clinton’s allies say she’d have a better shot with Trump as the GOP standard-bearer.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/hillary-clinton-allies-general-election-222052

So they consider this to be the battleground map:



Green: Top-tier swing states
>30%: Tier Two/Leaning towards one party, not competitive right now
>40%: Tier Three/Likely, would only be potentially competitive with Trump and/or in a wave

LOL@NH being a Top-tier swing state.
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