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  1972-2012 Presidential County Results by Margin by Year (Animated GIF)
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Author Topic: 1972-2012 Presidential County Results by Margin by Year (Animated GIF)  (Read 2795 times)
President Griffin
Adam Griffin
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« on: May 07, 2016, 07:31:02 pm »
« edited: May 18, 2016, 05:12:58 am by President Griffin »

I'm working on a major project at the moment: animating modern presidential election results by county (by margin) into a GIF. Currently, each frame is one year and one second = four years.

The change in margin between two presidential elections is averaged out and split across three additional frames (years in between the two elections) to create an animated effect. So for instance, a county that was +12 Dem in 2004 and +24 Dem in 2008 would be +15 Dem in 2005; +18 in 2006; +21 in 2007.

Thus far, I have completed 1972-2012. I've already went way past my initial goal but I may continue going back even further.

1972 to 2012


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President Griffin
Adam Griffin
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« Reply #1 on: May 08, 2016, 01:44:26 am »

I love how inelastic that one Republican county in Maine is lol. Anyway, great work, thanks.

New Hampshire transplants!?!

My personal favorite is the Democratic wave/impulse of the Midwest radiating outward across the entire region from 2004-2008 (and then in reverse from 2009-2012).



Added 2000 to the GIF, so it now covers from 2000-2012.
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Miles
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« Reply #2 on: May 08, 2016, 01:52:21 am »

Thanks, Adam - very good!
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Nyvin
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« Reply #3 on: May 08, 2016, 07:26:04 pm »
« Edited: May 08, 2016, 07:27:44 pm by Nyvin »

Could you display the years in the gif?   That'd be helpful.

Also - Wow,  Maricopa hardly changes at all....so much for a Dem trend in AZ....
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Miles
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« Reply #4 on: May 08, 2016, 07:29:05 pm »

^ AZ is one of the few states where the largest county is to the right of the state.
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President Griffin
Adam Griffin
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« Reply #5 on: May 08, 2016, 09:03:55 pm »

Could you display the years in the gif?   That'd be helpful.

Also - Wow,  Maricopa hardly changes at all....so much for a Dem trend in AZ....

Done.



Also, there were a few issues with the previous GIF that have now been corrected:

  • 2010 frame was showing twice and the 2011 frame was missing; fixed
  • Jefferson County, NY was way off on its 2000 result; fixed
  • Fusion Tables was ignoring my two lightest shades of blue/red and rendering them as white; fixed
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jfern
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« Reply #6 on: May 08, 2016, 09:10:45 pm »

Something looks wrong with Greene, NY.
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President Griffin
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« Reply #7 on: May 08, 2016, 11:07:08 pm »
« Edited: May 10, 2016, 05:26:22 am by President Griffin »


Yeah, good catch. It looks like a discrepancy between "King County"/"Brooklyn" threw off everything from Brooklyn - Jefferson. I've fixed it in the data but I'm not going to correct the GIF yet, since it takes a while to recreate it.
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President Griffin
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« Reply #8 on: May 10, 2016, 05:21:47 am »
« Edited: May 10, 2016, 05:26:34 am by President Griffin »

1996 has now been added. Despite the fact that I was confident that I fixed New York, it appears I overlooked another problem; for now, ignore Saint Lawrence, Saratoga, Schenectady, Schoharie, Schuyler, Seneca and Richmond/Staten Island (<--- the origin of the problem) from 1996-2004. I could have sworn I checked all the boroughs...
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President Griffin
Adam Griffin
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« Reply #9 on: May 12, 2016, 10:49:14 pm »

1992 has now been added.
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President Griffin
Adam Griffin
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« Reply #10 on: May 14, 2016, 01:34:57 am »

1988 has been added.
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Arch
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« Reply #11 on: May 14, 2016, 01:36:46 am »
« Edited: May 14, 2016, 01:42:02 am by Arch »

Could you add HI and AK as well, since they're states as well? I am really curious about AK in particular.
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President Griffin
Adam Griffin
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« Reply #12 on: May 14, 2016, 01:50:48 am »

Could you add HI and AK as well, since they're states as well? I am really curious about AK in particular.

AK is practically impossible (for me, anyway) due to the way votes are recorded versus how shapefile boundaries are molded; the jurisdictions are different. This is part of the reason why even Dave Leip doesn't have maps for AK.

HI is actually in my data but I haven't yet bothered adding it because I'll have to take a separate screenshot for it, paste it into each existing frame and ensure it's exactly lined up in each one with one another.
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President Griffin
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« Reply #13 on: May 14, 2016, 01:53:55 am »

One thing I'm going to have to fix: apparently the total file size of my GIF is getting too big for the GIF service I'm using. It seems to have scaled down the size involuntarily by about half. I'm definitely going to need to find a workaround for that. It's fine for displaying it in a forum post, but I like to have a full-sized image that's approximately an entire screen's worth in terms of average desktop resolution.
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President Griffin
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« Reply #14 on: May 15, 2016, 02:43:04 am »

1984 has now been added. I also corrected a glitch in the previous GIF (1988-1991) in which MO's numbers were incorrect.
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President Griffin
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« Reply #15 on: May 16, 2016, 05:41:33 am »

Annnnd 1980.
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President Griffin
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« Reply #16 on: May 18, 2016, 05:14:06 am »
« Edited: May 18, 2016, 05:15:53 am by President Griffin »

1972 and 1976 have been added. This is in all likelihood the end of the road.

I've also added half-speed and double-speed variations of the GIF.
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Shameless Bernie Hack
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« Reply #17 on: May 30, 2016, 04:44:11 am »

For those wondering about that county in ME:

That's Piscataquis County, which has about 17k people in it at a density of 4.4/mi.

Can verify that it's almost entirely trees.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #18 on: May 30, 2016, 11:56:56 am »

NE appears to be the true home of Republicanism, haha.
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Drew
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« Reply #19 on: June 02, 2016, 08:26:15 pm »

This map really illustrates how the Dems have become such an 'urban' party and the GOP rural.  2008 and 2012 were Dem years, yet the map is dominated by GOP blue, particularly in the case of 2012.  Compare that with 92-96 and see all that Dem red that turns dark blue by 2012.
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