OR- OPB/DHM Research: Clinton +15
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Author Topic: OR- OPB/DHM Research: Clinton +15  (Read 4173 times)
Fargobison
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« on: May 10, 2016, 05:47:52 PM »
« edited: May 10, 2016, 05:51:47 PM by Fargobison »
Clinton 48
Sanders 33

http://www.opb.org/news/series/election-2016/bernie-sanders-hillary-clinton-donald-trump-oregon-poll/
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #1 on: May 10, 2016, 05:48:38 PM »
That doesn't seem likely.
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RI
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« Reply #2 on: May 10, 2016, 05:48:57 PM »
lol
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: May 10, 2016, 05:49:49 PM »
Junk poll!
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #4 on: May 10, 2016, 05:50:17 PM »
I think we've found a poll worse than the Mike Downs one.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: May 10, 2016, 05:50:32 PM »
Probably just a junk poll. It makes me wish I had waited to buy those Sanders OR shares though.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #6 on: May 10, 2016, 05:51:07 PM »
Hopefully as inaccurate as the last Michigan poll (Hillary up 37).
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #7 on: May 10, 2016, 05:52:39 PM »
DOMINATING!!
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« Reply #8 on: May 10, 2016, 06:08:49 PM »
Holy sh**t
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #9 on: May 10, 2016, 06:13:50 PM »
Hey, it might be more accurate than that one Kansas poll. Maybe...
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #10 on: May 10, 2016, 06:18:26 PM »
Lol, no.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #11 on: May 10, 2016, 06:20:24 PM »
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #12 on: May 10, 2016, 06:23:56 PM »
Quote from: xingkerui on May 10, 2016, 06:13:50 PM
Hey, it might be more accurate than that one Kansas poll. Maybe...

If this poll was as bad as the Kansas poll, the result would be Sanders + 33. So probably not as bad.
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
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« Reply #13 on: May 10, 2016, 06:31:30 PM »
Oregon: Rural areas + Portland and Eugene.

Safe Sanders.

JUNK POLL!
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #14 on: May 11, 2016, 12:52:06 AM »
Yeah, exactly ... Roll Eyes
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DrScholl
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« Reply #15 on: May 11, 2016, 09:56:58 AM »
Oregon is a closed primary and Sanders hasn't done too well in those.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #16 on: May 11, 2016, 11:25:03 AM »
I agree that this poll is ridiculous, but remember that a poll came out of Washington primary voters not too long ago that had Hillary in the lead. It's entirely possible that the caucus vs. closed primary dynamic will lead to a pretty drastically different result than north of the Columbia.
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #17 on: May 11, 2016, 01:33:41 PM »
It is also interesting that on the GOP side the poll has Trump at only 45%, with 14% for both Cruz and Kasich, with the other 27% voting other and undecided.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #18 on: May 11, 2016, 01:50:48 PM »
I don't think anyone (except maybe r/sandersforpresident) thinks that Sanders will win OR by 46%. But OR is, if anything, more demographically favorable for Sanders than WA, and consider that some of his best counties in WA bordered OR. The fact that it's a closed primary will bring his margin down to earth a bit, but I can't fathom a nearly 3-to-1 win becoming a loss simply due to it being a closed primary instead of an open caucus. Would Sanders have won an open caucus in a state like Maryland?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #19 on: May 11, 2016, 02:57:29 PM »
Sanders might do worse than Obama did here. Maybe. It is a closed primary. The demographics really couldn't be much more favorable for him though.
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NeverAgain
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« Reply #20 on: May 11, 2016, 04:19:03 PM »
Next DHM Poll: California, Bernie: 98.2% Stein: 19.2% Hillary: 192832.34%
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Ebsy
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« Reply #21 on: May 12, 2016, 02:06:28 PM »
I'm a bit confused. I went to look at the actual crosstabs, and it appears that the race is actually 45 to 38, so Clinton +7. idk why the graph on the news article says 48 to 33.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #22 on: May 12, 2016, 05:00:30 PM »
Hopefully this is true and sweeps the rest of states and end campaign
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KingSweden
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« Reply #23 on: May 16, 2016, 09:44:37 AM »
Yeah, this can't be right. If Hillary were to win - a huge if - it'd be by a teeny tiny margin.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #24 on: May 16, 2016, 10:04:01 AM »
So I guess this is the only Oregon poll we'll be getting? LOL
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