FL/OH/PA Quinnipiac: Close races everywhere (user search)
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  FL/OH/PA Quinnipiac: Close races everywhere (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL/OH/PA Quinnipiac: Close races everywhere  (Read 2778 times)
BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« on: May 11, 2016, 07:11:31 PM »

If this poll is accurate, this is terrible news for Toomey and (especially) Strickland. They should be outperforming Trump by a lot. I still think PA is Lean R for now, but clearly Toomey isn't as safe as some earlier polls suggested. FL will probably be up in the air until the primary.
Do you mean Portman?
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #1 on: May 12, 2016, 08:56:45 AM »

If this poll is accurate, this is terrible news for Toomey and (especially) Strickland. They should be outperforming Trump by a lot. I still think PA is Lean R for now, but clearly Toomey isn't as safe as some earlier polls suggested. FL will probably be up in the air until the primary.
Do you mean Portman?

Yes, I meant Portman. My bad.
That's cool

One thing this poll found was that Strickland had a higher percentage of people viewing him unfavorably. However, a lot of people also said they didn't know enough about Portman to have an opinion of him. That's good for Portman in that he can make inroads with some of them, but it's bad at the same time because he lags in name recognition and those people may not like him. Anyway, I say PA Tilts R at the moment, FL will lean R with Grayson as the Democratic nominee, tossup with Murphy as the Democratic nominee. Ohio is a pure tossup right now.
You raise a good point. I've been following the campaign through PPP, Portman's name recognition has been lower than Strickland's since last June. That said, the more voters recognize him, the higher his favorability goes. He's gone from net -24 favorable to -8, while Strickland's gone from -11 to -9.
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