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  YouGov- Hillary leads Trump by 2
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Author Topic: YouGov- Hillary leads Trump by 2  (Read 1110 times)
Buh her emails!
diskymike44
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« on: May 11, 2016, 01:25:14 pm »
« edited: May 11, 2016, 01:35:11 pm by Spooky Mike »

Clinton 42%
Trump 40%

It's a Internet poll btw.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/yougov-economist-24478
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #1 on: May 11, 2016, 01:31:49 pm »

I think we may be seeing the same gap between the automated phone and online polls and the live phone polls with Trump's GE polling. The thinking when this was an issue last year was there was possibly a 'shy Trumpy' effect going on.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #2 on: May 11, 2016, 01:34:03 pm »

Or internet polls are just junk.
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Biden If Buttigieg
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« Reply #3 on: May 11, 2016, 01:43:56 pm »

Below 45%=below my standards.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #4 on: May 11, 2016, 03:12:30 pm »

As with the Ipsos/Reuters polls, it is very close to the historical minima for voting for the nominees of both Parties in blow-out losses.  This is basically Mondale vs. Goldwater.

It is also very similar to the polls by Quinnipiac for Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania this week.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #5 on: May 11, 2016, 03:16:31 pm »

A lot of undecided voters. That's a big chance for TRUMP I think.
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Xing
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« Reply #6 on: May 11, 2016, 03:26:52 pm »

Trump is probably enjoying a bit of a bounce right now. Clinton will get one of her own in June.
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Suburban Cincinnati Soccer Moms for Beshear
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« Reply #7 on: May 11, 2016, 03:40:54 pm »

Yea after Lyin' Ted and Kasich dropped out, Trump has gotten a big boost for becoming the presumptive nominee. The party has been rallying around him mostly. Bernie is still running and there are plenty of die hard fanatics who think Bernie will win California 80-20 and win the nomination from the neo Liberal corporatist warmonger.  Once Bernie drops out and endorses Hillary in June, she should get a boost in the polls. Berniebots may be consideing voting for Jill Stein instead in the in the heat of the primary, like the PUMAS in 2008.
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RJEvans
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« Reply #8 on: May 11, 2016, 04:45:41 pm »

So in aggregate, Trump = Romney one week after winning the nomination.  Heckuva job, Hillary Clinton!

Romney got a 4-point bounce after becoming the presumptive nominee in 2012. He went from losing by 4 points in April 27 to a TIE on May 8 (according to RCP) The same will happen with Trump. Clinton will also get her bounce after June 7 (assuming Bernie endorses her shortly after).
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #9 on: May 11, 2016, 04:45:45 pm »

So in aggregate, Trump = Romney one week after winning the nomination.  Heckuva job, Hillary Clinton!

Until the email scandal is resolved, her negatives will remain high. This is the same pollster that had Sanders outperforming Hilary in primaries. They're online polls. Even in a 2012 election Obama won by 3.5 points.
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Reginald
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« Reply #10 on: May 11, 2016, 08:26:09 pm »

The YouGov/Economist poll from March had Clinton up by 1, so...
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RJEvans
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« Reply #11 on: May 13, 2016, 11:38:26 am »

I don't understand how someone with a NET -26 favorable rating is only two points down on someone with a NET -15 favorable rating. It should be 5-10 points. But then again, this is an internet poll.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #12 on: May 13, 2016, 11:41:23 am »

I don't understand how someone with a NET -26 favorable rating is only two points down on someone with a NET -15 favorable rating. It should be 5-10 points. But then again, this is an internet poll.

There are more anti-TRUMP Republicans than there are anti-Hillary Democrats.

And given that this is 2016, I really don't understand the internet poll skepticism.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #13 on: May 14, 2016, 04:33:40 pm »

Yea after Lyin' Ted and Kasich dropped out, Trump has gotten a big boost for becoming the presumptive nominee. The party has been rallying around him mostly. Bernie is still running and there are plenty of die hard fanatics who think Bernie will win California 80-20 and win the nomination from the neo Liberal corporatist warmonger.  Once Bernie drops out and endorses Hillary in June, she should get a boost in the polls. Berniebots may be consideing voting for Jill Stein instead in the in the heat of the primary, like the PUMAS in 2008.
Yep, McKinney's fourth best state was Arkansas and Nader doubled his national popular vote in Arkansas because of our commitment to the environment. That's also why the Green candidate for Senate got the best performance of any Green statewide ever, anywhere.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #14 on: May 14, 2016, 06:09:16 pm »

Yea after Lyin' Ted and Kasich dropped out, Trump has gotten a big boost for becoming the presumptive nominee. The party has been rallying around him mostly. Bernie is still running and there are plenty of die hard fanatics who think Bernie will win California 80-20 and win the nomination from the neo Liberal corporatist warmonger.  Once Bernie drops out and endorses Hillary in June, she should get a boost in the polls. Berniebots may be consideing voting for Jill Stein instead in the in the heat of the primary, like the PUMAS in 2008.
Yep, McKinney's fourth best state was Arkansas and Nader doubled his national popular vote in Arkansas because of our commitment to the environment. That's also why the Green candidate for Senate got the best performance of any Green statewide ever, anywhere.

Might also have to do with the fact that Republicans didn't even run a candidate against Pryor in 2008.
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RR1997
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« Reply #15 on: May 15, 2016, 01:49:34 pm »

Junk poll! Internet polls are pretty inaccurate. TRUMP will lose by more than 5 points.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #16 on: May 15, 2016, 02:28:13 pm »

Trump is probably enjoying a bit of a bounce right now. Clinton will get one of her own in June.

Yes, right after those people yelling the b-word at Barbara Boxer decide what they really want is a woman in the White House rather than someone just like them!
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