GA Abt SBRI AJC: Trump 47 Clinton 44, Sanders 47 Trump 42

[HillOfANight]

http://www.myajc.com/news/news/state-regional-govt-politics/poll-clinton-vs-trump-a-tossup-between-unpopular-c/nrMhZ/

http://www.myajc.com/news/may-2016-poll/ interactive crosstabs

http://media.cmgdigital.com/shared/news/documents/2016/05/13/30480_GA_Poll_Banner1.pdf full results

She gets 20% of the white vote, Sanders gets 25%

[HillOfANight]

I think the interactive thing is glitched.

http://media.cmgdigital.com/shared/news/documents/2016/05/13/30480_GA_Poll_Banner1.pdf
Page 19 shows Trump leading 46-44 among college graduates.

[HillOfANight]

Landmark likes to publish close races to ensure the GOP pays attention and doesn't let the race slip to the Democrats, the media and the Democrats have an interest in how purple GA is turning.

[HillOfANight]

But Hillary's actually led in Arizona/North Carolina. Though I think close GA polls are a good barometer of where the race stands nationally.

[HillOfANight]

Clinton's doing really well in NC now though and PPP should confirm AZ soon.

Anyway, thought it'd be important to note, in October 2012, they said Obama 43 Romney 51. It ended up Obama 45 Romney 53, so these guys are pretty good in GA.

http://www.ajc.com/news/national/georgia-statewide-poll/

[HillOfANight]

Nathan Deal actually did relatively well with black voters in 2014.

http://www.cnn.com/election/2014/results/state/GA/governor/
Nathan got 10% of the black vote

http://www.cnn.com/election/2014/results/state/GA/senate/
While in the Senate, Perdue got just 7%.

Nathan Deal did black outreach, working with Ludacris, putting black people in his ads, touting his work with black schools, etc. GOP getting 10% of the black vote vs 5% is a big difference with the inflexible white voters.