GA Abt SBRI AJC: Trump 47 Clinton 44, Sanders 47 Trump 42 (user search)
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  GA Abt SBRI AJC: Trump 47 Clinton 44, Sanders 47 Trump 42 (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA Abt SBRI AJC: Trump 47 Clinton 44, Sanders 47 Trump 42  (Read 5045 times)
Dr. Arch
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« on: May 14, 2016, 01:04:38 AM »

He's getting decimated among College Graduates 44-2. That bodes bad signs for him elsewhere.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1 on: May 14, 2016, 01:10:43 AM »

I think the interactive thing is glitched.

http://media.cmgdigital.com/shared/news/documents/2016/05/13/30480_GA_Poll_Banner1.pdf
Page 19 shows Trump leading 46-44 among college graduates.

Okay, that makes more sense.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #2 on: May 14, 2016, 02:00:46 PM »

Time for more of my patented analysis. Assuming this poll's demographics are even across all states and Trump does win Georgia by 3%, then using RCP's and 538's demographic calculators I get this result:

Hillary Clinton/Julian Castro: 396, 54.5%
Donald Trump/Newt Gingrich: 142, 44.6%

Clinton won Texas by 0.1% and Arizona by 0.4%. Trump won Indiana by 3.5% and Georgia by 2.9%.

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