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Author Topic: GA-Opinion Savvy: Trump 44 Clinton 41  (Read 1978 times)
HillOfANight
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« on: May 16, 2016, 06:08:50 pm »

http://opinionsavvy.com/2016/05/16/poll-trump-leads-over-clinton-in-ga-voters-split-on-restroom-issues/
http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/GA-5.16.16-Full.pdf

4th GA poll in a week Smiley

Clinton   40.9
Trump   44.1
Lib / Ind   10.2
Undecided   4.8

17% of African Americans for Trump haha,
Trump only gets 71% of the GOP, Clinton gets 83% of Dems.
Hillary does better with the landline than the mobile survey.
« Last Edit: May 16, 2016, 06:11:12 pm by HillOfANight »Logged
Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #1 on: May 16, 2016, 06:09:31 pm »

So Trump is currently ahead in GA by 3-6 points, we get it! lol
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Ebsy
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« Reply #2 on: May 16, 2016, 06:09:44 pm »

Toss up Georgia here we come!
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Fmr. Pres. Griff
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« Reply #3 on: May 16, 2016, 06:09:59 pm »


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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4 on: May 16, 2016, 06:12:07 pm »

What's up with all these Georgia polls?
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Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett: "Just close friends and family,"

Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
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« Reply #5 on: May 16, 2016, 06:13:13 pm »

What's up with all these Georgia polls?

I think the sharks smell the blood in the water, so to speak. It looks like GA will be highly competitive this year, possibly flipping.
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Sic semper tyrannis.
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« Reply #6 on: May 16, 2016, 06:15:09 pm »

New Poll: Georgia President by Other Source on 2016-05-15

Summary: D: 41%, R: 44%, U: 15%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #7 on: May 16, 2016, 06:16:04 pm »

GOP trying to see if they need to protect their territory.

http://www.myajc.com/news/news/state-regional-govt-politics/spending-on-georgias-us-senate-race-smashed-record/njdkN/ They spent $47M in 2014 to protect the Senate seat, can't wait to see how much they spend in a presidential year Smiley
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Ebsy
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« Reply #8 on: May 16, 2016, 06:19:32 pm »

I wish they did an ideology crosstab in addition to the party crosstab.
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #9 on: May 16, 2016, 06:25:48 pm »

What's up with all these Georgia polls?

I think the sharks smell the blood in the water, so to speak. It looks like GA will be highly competitive this year, possibly flipping.

Unless Clinton is near 50% in these GA polls, the state isn't flipping. I assume that most undecideds are probably Trump supporters. That being said, I'm convinced that VA, NC and GA will be three of the most Democratic states in 50 years.

However, numbers like these should make Republicans feel verry happy about the Electoral college.
« Last Edit: May 16, 2016, 06:27:55 pm by TN volunteer »Logged

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HillOfANight
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« Reply #10 on: May 16, 2016, 06:55:48 pm »

These are sad numbers for Trump. Hillary is going to get 90% of the black vote at worst, so just that alone bumps her up to 46.5% and him down to 42% (she can't get 90% of the black vote without him at 10% of the black vote).

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diskymike44
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« Reply #11 on: May 16, 2016, 07:07:22 pm »

Yeah yeah we get it! Trump could lose GA but how about more polls from FL,OH and PA?
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #12 on: May 16, 2016, 07:12:12 pm »

These are sad numbers for Trump. Hillary is going to get 90% of the black vote at worst, so just that alone bumps her up to 46.5% and him down to 42% (she can't get 90% of the black vote without him at 10% of the black vote).

And Trump is not going to get 58% of the White vote.
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marty
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« Reply #13 on: May 16, 2016, 07:16:42 pm »

The 15% undecided are GOP voters who will break for trump in the end.

This will be a trump +6/7 state in the end.
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Castro
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« Reply #14 on: May 16, 2016, 07:24:21 pm »

Are there runoffs for Presidential elections in Georgia?
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Southern Speaker Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #15 on: May 16, 2016, 07:31:49 pm »

Are there runoffs for Presidential elections in Georgia?
No.
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Vote Lib Dem on May 7 - keep Clegg as deputy PM

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=244197.0
Different states!
Ljube
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« Reply #16 on: May 16, 2016, 09:48:36 pm »

However, numbers like these should make Republicans feel verry happy about the Electoral college.
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Fmr. Pres. Griff
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« Reply #17 on: May 16, 2016, 09:54:55 pm »

However, numbers like these should make Republicans feel verry happy about the Electoral college.

I'm not following.
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Ljube
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« Reply #18 on: May 16, 2016, 10:03:00 pm »

However, numbers like these should make Republicans feel verry happy about the Electoral college.

I'm not following.

Finally the EC is working in Pub favor and I can easily see Trump losing the popular vote and winning the EC.
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Castro
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« Reply #19 on: May 16, 2016, 10:31:53 pm »

However, numbers like these should make Republicans feel verry happy about the Electoral college.

I'm not following.

Finally the EC is working in Pub favor and I can easily see Trump losing the popular vote and winning the EC.

If GA is close enough that the Electoral College is seen as working in the GOP's favor, Democrats are winning the election by a wide margin.
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Fmr. Pres. Griff
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« Reply #20 on: May 16, 2016, 10:46:46 pm »

However, numbers like these should make Republicans feel verry happy about the Electoral college.

I'm not following.

Finally the EC is working in Pub favor and I can easily see Trump losing the popular vote and winning the EC.

If GA is close enough that the Electoral College is seen as working in the GOP's favor, Democrats are winning the election by a wide margin.

Yeah, that's what I thought he meant, but it just didn't make any sense to me. As much as I defended the notion in one of these other GA poll threads a few days ago that Georgia isn't going to be 10-12 points off of the national margin in every future election, the nation isn't going to become so unglued that OH, FL, etc are nail-biters while Trump is winning GA by low single-digits.
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