Wyoming could be a swing state in 2016.
Yes, that makes zero sense and there's zero evidence to back it up, but I'm going to insist it could be a swing state anyways.
1. Party Affiliation.
http://soswy.state.wy.us/Elections/Docs/VRStats/2016/16MayVR_stats.pdfRepublicans 69%, Democrats 21%, Independents 10%.
If Hillary gets a measly 40% of Republicans and 100% of Democrats and Independents she would get 50% of the vote.
2. Racial Demogrpahics.
Voters Shares(considering Turnouts) in 2016, it would be
White 93% | Native American 3% | Black 2% | Asian 1%
Yes, Wyoming whites have virtually no history of voting for Democrats, and have voted overwhelmingly for Republicans in Presidential elections for decades, but LBJ won Wyoming only 56 years ago and I refuse to acknowledge that any new voters may have been born since then.
If Hillary can win those LBJ Democrats (mostly whites) than, in the poetic words of StatesPoll, "it is a worth to challenge."
3. 27% of people in Wyoming are evangelical. Which is only 2% lower than fellow swing state Oregon. I refuse to listen to any rational explanation for this, such as the state's large, overwhelmingly Republican Mormon population and instead cling to this one out of context factoid as "evidence" for my moronic thesis.
http://www.pewforum.org/religious-landscape-study/religious-tradition/evangelical-protestant/So by my calculations that means Wyoming could be 239.5% Clinton | -1% Trump, dead heat.
