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  PPP-AZ: McCain in Big Trouble
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Author Topic: PPP-AZ: McCain in Big Trouble  (Read 1597 times)
Ebsy
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« on: May 17, 2016, 01:33:59 pm »

GOP Primary (Head to Head):
McCain: 41
Ward: 41

General:
McCain: 42
Kirkpatrick: 36

Ward: 37
Kirkpatrick: 35

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_AZ_51716.pdf
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olowakandi
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« Reply #1 on: May 17, 2016, 01:53:31 pm »

Glad to see it. Hopefully Kirkpatrick beats Ward
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Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #2 on: May 17, 2016, 02:02:54 pm »

If Ward actually defeats McCain...Wow. Just Wow.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #3 on: May 17, 2016, 02:28:46 pm »

If Ward actually defeats McCain...Wow. Just Wow.

I'm not surprised.  McCain's brand of Republicanism has effectively expired.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #4 on: May 17, 2016, 02:35:55 pm »

Excellent news! Senator Ann Kirkpatrick is on the way!
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pppolitics
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« Reply #5 on: May 17, 2016, 02:39:18 pm »

How tough is Ward as an opponent?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #6 on: May 17, 2016, 02:44:41 pm »

How tough is Ward as an opponent?

Not really at all, but being this close this early on in the primary process is horrible news for McCain.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: May 17, 2016, 03:48:39 pm »

Arizona is a toss up!
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IA less likely to flip than OH/TX/FL/GA/NC/AZ
IndyRep
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« Reply #8 on: May 17, 2016, 03:55:29 pm »
« Edited: May 17, 2016, 03:57:08 pm by TN volunteer »

Lol. Of course Ebsy didn't mention that McCain actually leads Ward by 13 if you include the other Republicans. Should McCain win the primary, this race is likely/safe R.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #9 on: May 17, 2016, 04:00:13 pm »

Lol. Of course Ebsy didn't mention that McCain actually leads Ward by 13 if you include the other Republicans. Should McCain win the primary, this race is likely/safe R.
Good. I thought there were other Republicans running. I don't have to worry about this race. When is the primary?
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olowakandi
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« Reply #10 on: May 17, 2016, 04:09:14 pm »

A six point race isn't safe R. Tilts R but will be washed out in a Clinton wave.
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Green Line
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« Reply #11 on: May 17, 2016, 04:17:22 pm »

McCains highest approval rating comes from "somewhat liberal" voters, strange!
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #12 on: May 17, 2016, 04:43:56 pm »

McCains highest approval rating comes from "somewhat liberal" voters, strange!
Then hopefully conservatives will "come home" to him.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #13 on: May 17, 2016, 05:31:02 pm »

Oh how much I would love for him to lose to Ward.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #14 on: May 17, 2016, 10:07:24 pm »

Could be an Indiana 2012 redux.
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The Unbearable Inevitability of Nevada going Democratic
xingkerui
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« Reply #15 on: May 18, 2016, 07:22:48 pm »

Could be an Indiana 2012 redux.

If McCain loses to Ward, it will be. I'm not quite convinced McCain is in this much trouble yet, but he is very unpopular...
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The Arizonan
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« Reply #16 on: May 18, 2016, 07:59:08 pm »

Even if McCain ends up winning, Kirkpatrick will have made it a close election.

It would be slightly amusing if Trump wins Arizona, but McCain loses to Kirkpatrick.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #17 on: May 18, 2016, 11:22:50 pm »

McCain's strategy for going against Ward so far has been terrible.

He's been attacking her for holding a panel on chemtrails, but all he's really been doing is getting people to pay attention to the chemtrails issue; and I expect AZ GOP primary voters to be EXACTLY the kind of people who eat sh**t like "evil government brainwashing sky gas" up.
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jdb
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« Reply #18 on: May 19, 2016, 06:22:54 am »

Lol. Of course Ebsy didn't mention that McCain actually leads Ward by 13 if you include the other Republicans. Should McCain win the primary, this race is likely/safe R.

Nah, it's right on the border of lean R and toss-up tilt-R with McCain (Kirkpatrick is running a strong campaign and Trump will be on the ballot).  IIRC, this is McCain's first competitive AZ race too.
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #19 on: May 30, 2016, 12:33:12 pm »

McCains highest approval rating comes from "somewhat liberal" voters, strange!

Likely older, wealthier Dems who "wish there were more like him"

Voted straight Republican until they voted to re-elect Bill in 1996. Voted for Bush twice and then Obama twice. Still GOP downballot.
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