Wisconsin-the last polls seem to reach a consensus that it was in the bag for Bush
Florida-the last week saw wild swings for both candidates (+5 for Bush one day, +6 for Kerry the next) and I had predicted that the Sunshine State would be about +4 for Kerry
West Virginia-I predicted this would be about +3-4 for Bush but I never thought of a 12% margin there
I was just stunned that FL was so much for Bush. I went, "hey, how much did Jeb fix the machines" for the first few hours until settling down.
None of them were surprising at all. Maybe New Mexico but not even that result made my head spin.