Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 17, 2019, 03:40:32 pm
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  NJ-Quinnipiac: Clinton 54% Sanders 40%
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: NJ-Quinnipiac: Clinton 54% Sanders 40%  (Read 1836 times)
Mr. Morden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 39,291
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: May 19, 2016, 05:04:35 am »

Quinnipiac poll of New Jersey, conducted May 10-16:

https://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=2348

Clinton 54%
Sanders 40%
Logged
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,990
Venezuela


Political Matrix
E: 3.29, S: -1.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: May 19, 2016, 05:12:46 am »

Hmmm, I thought Sanders would be under 40. Maybe this will end up like NY and PA.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,427
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: May 19, 2016, 05:20:01 am »

Hmmm, I thought Sanders would be under 40. Maybe this will end up like NY and PA.

Quinnipiac always overestimates Sanders. A 60-40 result is the most plausible.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,731
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: May 19, 2016, 05:24:59 am »

It'll probably be similar to NY, or maybe 59-41.
Logged
Fusionmunster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,490


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: May 19, 2016, 07:38:48 am »

Quinnipiac has been utter garbarge this primary cycle, statistically giving some of the worst polls. They have underestimated Hillary at every turn, its no surprise there doing it in one of her strongest states.
Logged
Beet
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 24,492


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: May 19, 2016, 08:04:43 am »

Wow. If Sanders somehow wins New Jersey this election will be a mess.
Logged
BetoBro
semocrat08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,409
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: May 19, 2016, 09:21:13 am »

Wow. If Sanders somehow wins New Jersey this election will be a mess.

He won't. It's not an 80+ percent white state.
Logged
Angrie
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 450


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: May 19, 2016, 11:20:53 am »

Wow. If Sanders somehow wins New Jersey this election will be a mess.

He won't. It's not an 80+ percent white state.

But Bernie does somewhat better with northern minority voters than with southern ones. Of course he will still lose, but it will be similar to PA and NY.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,427
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: May 19, 2016, 11:24:01 am »

Wow. If Sanders somehow wins New Jersey this election will be a mess.

He won't. It's not an 80+ percent white state.

But Bernie does somewhat better with northern minority voters than with southern ones. Of course he will still lose, but it will be similar to PA and NY.

With New Jersey it's not only a matter of minorities. The state is essentially a big suburb and affluent white suburbanites are another group where he does terribly.
Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,740
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: May 19, 2016, 07:47:47 pm »

Wow. If Sanders somehow wins New Jersey this election will be a mess.

Trailing by 14 from a favorable pollster is not really a sign he could win it. It would make no difference in the delegate math anyway.

NJ isn't entirely closed, so it's possible he does slightly better than in NY. He could also do slightly worse since it's even worse for him demographically.
Logged
The love that set me free
BRTD
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 86,279
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: May 22, 2016, 08:55:53 am »

Wow. If Sanders somehow wins New Jersey this election will be a mess.

Why on Earth would this poll indicate to you that Sanders will win New Jersey?
Logged
morgieb
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,468
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: May 22, 2016, 09:46:49 am »

Wow. If Sanders somehow wins New Jersey this election will be a mess.

Why on Earth would this poll indicate to you that Sanders will win New Jersey?
It's Beet.
Logged
The love that set me free
BRTD
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 86,279
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: May 22, 2016, 01:11:57 pm »

Wow. If Sanders somehow wins New Jersey this election will be a mess.

Why on Earth would this poll indicate to you that Sanders will win New Jersey?
It's Beet.

Even for him it's a pretty bizarre reaction. It'd be like if a poll for the general election came out showing Hillary leading by 14 points against Trump and his response was "Wow. If Trump somehow wins New Jersey this is going to be a blowout."
Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,740
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: May 22, 2016, 05:06:54 pm »

Wow. If Sanders somehow wins New Jersey this election will be a mess.

Why on Earth would this poll indicate to you that Sanders will win New Jersey?
It's Beet.

Even for him it's a pretty bizarre reaction.

Not particularly. You must not have seen his predictions back in March. Tongue

He had him tying in NY, winning PA/CA by 20, winning NJ by double digits, winning NM/PR by like 30 points...
Logged
Dave Leip
leip
Administrator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,319
United States


P P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: May 23, 2016, 07:44:43 pm »

New Poll: New Jersey President by Quinnipiac University on 2016-05-16

Summary:
Clinton:
54%
Sanders:
40%
Other:
0%
Undecided:
6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Logged
psychprofessor
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,076


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: June 08, 2016, 01:18:05 am »

Quinn has been awful with Hillary this primary. Only up 14 in NJ when she won by double the amount.

I wonder if their GE polls, like the +7 in CT, are just as off?
Logged
Gass3268
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,176
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: June 08, 2016, 01:40:00 am »

Quinn has been awful with Hillary this primary. Only up 14 in NJ when she won by double the amount.

I wonder if their GE polls, like the +7 in CT, are just as off?

To be fair, they nailed Sanders' number.
Logged
psychprofessor
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,076


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: June 08, 2016, 01:57:21 am »

Quinn has been awful with Hillary this primary. Only up 14 in NJ when she won by double the amount.

I wonder if their GE polls, like the +7 in CT, are just as off?

To be fair, they nailed Sanders' number.

Not really, Hillary won 63-37. Something strange is occurring with Quinn and their underestimation of Hillary.
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,531
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: June 08, 2016, 02:11:54 am »

Quinn has been awful with Hillary this primary. Only up 14 in NJ when she won by double the amount.

I wonder if their GE polls, like the +7 in CT, are just as off?

To be fair, they nailed Sanders' number.

Not really, Hillary won 63-37. Something strange is occurring with Quinn and their underestimation of Hillary.

This is why I've been ignoring QU since this season started. Their modelling about the electorate has been RUBBISH.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC