WaPo/ABC National: Trump +2, Clinton +2 w/ Romney

[StatesPoll]

WP/ABC Poll (5/16-5/19, 829 RV)

Realistic Convertion(Realistic Party Affiliation %)
TRUMP beat Hillary with +10% margins.

1. WP/ABC Poll (5/16-5/19) + Realistic Demographics

1) WP/ABC Poll (5/16-5/19, 829 RV)
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/poll-election-2016-shapes-up-as-a-contest-of-negatives/2016/05/21/8d4ccfd6-1ed3-11e6-b6e0-c53b7ef63b45_story.html

White: TRUMP 57% | Hillary 33%, Non White: TRUMP 21% | Hillary 69%
Dem: TRUMP 11% | Hillary 86%, Rep: TRUMP 85% | Hillary 8%
Ind: TRUMP got 13% more than Hillary.


2) WP/ABC Poll (5/16-5/19, 829 RV) + Realistic Party Affiliation
Party Affiliation: Dem 38% | Rep 34% | Ind 28%
(Election 2012, it was Dem 38%, Rep 32%, Ind 29%.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_2012#Voter_demographics
But TRUMP brought so many new republican via Primaries.)

TRUMP vs Hillary
1) Party Affiliation
TRUMP : 
DEM(38%) X -75% Margins  (=Hillary 86% - TRUMP 11%)
+ Rep(34%)x+77% Margins (=TRUMP 85% - Hillary 8%)
+ Ind(TRUMP > Hillary, +13% Margins)
= Total +10.32%.  TRUMP beat Hillary with +10.32% Margins.