Florida-Gravis Marketing Clinton 46 Trump 42

[mds32]

This is an interesting poll. Gravis polled some political issues as well.

President
Clinton 46%
Trump 42%

http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/florida-general-election-poll-marijuana-and-trans-bathroom/

[Ebsy]

The fact that Clinton is consistently leading in Florida, even among unfavorable pollsters, is very encouraging.

[psychprofessor]

NBC is saying that Trump has basically no infrastructure in Florida...

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/behind-donald-trump-s-nonexistent-florida-strategy-general-election-n578021

He has his work cut out there or FL could end up being his Waterloo.

His infrastructure is Mar-A-Lago. He's going to utilize the Mar-A-Lago strategy in Florida and it will be yuuuge. Just you see.

[Skye]

No "lol Gravis" comment? What a disappointment.

[Ebsy]

No "lol Gravis" comment? What a disappointment.

The crosstabs of the poll are surprisingly free of classic Gravis errors.

[Lief 🗽]

THANK YOU FLORIDA!

[Ljube]

No "lol Gravis" comment? What a disappointment.

The crosstabs of the poll are surprisingly free of classic Gravis errors.

Indeed. The poll seems to be of high quality.

[mds32]

The fact that Clinton is consistently leading in Florida, even among unfavorable pollsters, is very encouraging.

What the heck? Gravis got an A- throughout the entire primary season via Bloomberg. "Unfavorable?"

[Ebsy]

The fact that Clinton is consistently leading in Florida, even among unfavorable pollsters, is very encouraging.

What the heck? Gravis got an A- throughout the entire primary season via Bloomberg. "Unfavorable?"

It wasn't so much a specific dig at Gravis as saying that even pollsters that show lower numbers for her have her ahead in Florida, a state that Obama routinely trailed in by quite a bit in 2012.

[Nyvin]

The fact that Clinton is consistently leading in Florida, even among unfavorable pollsters, is very encouraging.

What the heck? Gravis got an A- throughout the entire primary season via Bloomberg. "Unfavorable?"

It wasn't so much a specific dig at Gravis as saying that even pollsters that show lower numbers for her have her ahead in Florida, a state that Obama routinely trailed in by quite a bit in 2012.

Yep...Obama was behind Romney in polling pretty much from April 2012 all the way to election day.  

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/fl/florida_romney_vs_obama-1883.html

[IceSpear]

The fact that Clinton is consistently leading in Florida, even among unfavorable pollsters, is very encouraging.

What the heck? Gravis got an A- throughout the entire primary season via Bloomberg. "Unfavorable?"

It wasn't so much a specific dig at Gravis as saying that even pollsters that show lower numbers for her have her ahead in Florida, a state that Obama routinely trailed in by quite a bit in 2012.

Yep...Obama was behind Romney in polling pretty much from April 2012 all the way to election day.  

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/fl/florida_romney_vs_obama-1883.html

I remember being very surprised Obama carried FL. I had written it off.

Past isn't necessarily prologue though. Dems outperformed the polls 4 elections in a row, only to have a massive underperformance in 2014.

[madelka]

Trump needs to hit 49% or more in the polls to win this state, because minority turnout on election day will likely be higher than anticipated.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

GREAT NEWS!!!!!!

[Ebsy]

Is it just me or is Clinton doing better in robopolls/online while Trump is doing better with live-caller?

It seems to be putting to bed the Shy Trump theory.

[Seriously?]

NBC is saying that Trump has basically no infrastructure in Florida...

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/behind-donald-trump-s-nonexistent-florida-strategy-general-election-n578021

He has his work cut out there or FL could end up being his Waterloo.

Umm. Trump dominated Florida in the primaries, destroying Marco Rubio and his alleged "infrastructure" in that state. NBC, as always, is spinning utter nonsense.

[Ebsy]

Rubio had no infrastructure in the state.

[Seriously?]

Rubio had no infrastructure in the state.

Rubio got destroyed in that state, but he had all of the infrastructure that he had to win his Senate race and all the home-field advantages that you get as a sitting Senator. It did him no good.

[IceSpear]

Speaking of Rubio, he has a 20-56 approval rating in this poll. Dayum!

He's making Jeb (28-53), Trump (38-54), and Hillary (40-52) look downright popular in comparison!

[Gass3268]

Speaking of Rubio, he has a 20-56 approval rating in this poll. Dayum!

He's making Jeb (28-53), Trump (38-54), and Hillary (40-52) look downright popular in comparison!

But he would make a great governor!

[pbrower2a]

There is practically no way for Donald Trump to win the Presidency without Florida. 242 electoral votes  involve States and districts that have not voted for a Republican nominee for President since at least 1988.  Florida makes it 271.

That is before I account for New Mexico, which is probably gone as being a prospect for a Republican nominee, New Hampshire, or Iowa, all of which went for Republican nominees only once.