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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  CA- Survey USA/ABC7: Clinton +14
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Author Topic: CA- Survey USA/ABC7: Clinton +14  (Read 1727 times)
The love that set me free
BRTD
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« Reply #25 on: May 24, 2016, 06:48:45 am »

Hey guys I'm going to predict the black vote nationwide based on an 83 person subsample from a single poll!
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BetoBro
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« Reply #26 on: May 24, 2016, 10:28:58 pm »

Then Election 2016 is over.

1. TRUMP did surprisingly well of the Minorities of SurveyUSA CA Poll
Total 1383 LV (Page 5)
https://cbssanfran.files.wordpress.com/2016/05/survey_usa_president_senate_052316.pdf


Hispanic(429 LV): TRUMP 35% | Hillary 51%
Asian(207 LV) : TRUMP 40% | Hillary 49%
Black(83 LV) : TRUMP 17% | Hillary 76%

2. if TRUMP gets similar Minorities Support at Nationwide,
Election 2016 it gonna be a landslide for him. something like

TRUMP 51.27% | Hillary 43.7% | Other Candidates 5%

if White voters: gonna be like TRUMP 60% Hillary 37% Other 3%

1) TRUMP
White(73%) x 60% + Black(12%) x 17% + Hispanic(10.5%) x 35%
+ Asian(3%) x 40% + Other(1.5%) x 40% = 51.27%

2) Hillary
White(73%) x 37% + Black(12%) x 76% + Hispanic(10.5%) x 51%
+ Asian(3%) x 49% + Other(1.5%) x 49% = 43.68%


If Don receives 35% of the Hispanic vote, 60% of whites, and 17% of African Americans I will personally create an Atlas livestream of me chewing on nails.

I don't think most Republicans even believe that. I think they believe DJT will receive 70 percent of whites, 3 percent of blacks, maybe 15 percent of Hispanics.
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