Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 23, 2019, 07:52:30 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
| | | | |-+  NC-PPP: Trump +2/ +4 without Johnson and Stein
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: NC-PPP: Trump +2/ +4 without Johnson and Stein  (Read 1269 times)
IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,597
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: May 25, 2016, 10:19:39 am »

Donald Trump (R): 43%
Hillary Clinton (D): 41%
Gary Johnson (L): 3%
Jill Stein (G): 2%

Donald Trump (R): 47%
Hillary Clinton (D): 43%

Bernie Sanders (D): 43%
Donald Trump (R): 40%
Gary Johnson (L): 3%
Jill Stein (G): 2%

Bernie Sanders (D): 48%
Donald Trump (R): 44%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/05/trump-burr-have-small-leads-in-north-carolina.html
« Last Edit: May 25, 2016, 10:22:29 am by TN volunteer »Logged
Angrie
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 452


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: May 25, 2016, 10:36:13 am »

So, 2012 all over again.

It is funny that Stein gets the same % with Bernie as she does with Hillary as the Dem nominee.

It is also funny that different pollsters get such different numbers for Gary Johnson. Morning Call is an internet pollster whereas PPP is automated phone, so maybe the Paulites have started to invade and skew internet polls.
Logged
HokeyDood
HockeyDude
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,616
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: May 25, 2016, 10:56:37 am »

Deeply troubling.

RIP : (
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,134
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.87

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: May 25, 2016, 11:00:24 am »

Lol. Stein's share stays exactly the same with or without Sanders.

But yeah, he should totally be her running mate.
Logged
mds32
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,068
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: May 25, 2016, 11:03:34 am »

I think North Carolina is acting the same way as in 2012. Flirts with the Democrats, but in the end goes to the GOP.
My prediction this far out is that NC goes for Trump by a slightly higher margin than for Romney in 2012. 51-47 Trump
Logged
psychprofessor
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,080


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: May 25, 2016, 11:25:00 am »

another red state moving into the toss-up category
Logged
Angrie
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 452


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: May 25, 2016, 11:32:23 am »

another red state moving into the toss-up category

But I think earlier polls actually had it more competitive, some with Clinton ahead?
Logged
libertpaulian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,473
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: May 25, 2016, 11:33:57 am »

I think North Carolina is acting the same way as in 2012. Flirts with the Democrats, but in the end goes to the GOP.
My prediction this far out is that NC goes for Trump by a slightly higher margin than for Romney in 2012. 51-47 Trump
Good news for McCrory?
Logged
EliteLX
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 970
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.64, S: 0.85

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: May 25, 2016, 12:33:37 pm »

another red state moving into the toss-up category

Uhh.. wuh?

In regards to 2012 margins, this state should be within easy grasps of Hillary with an opponent like Donald Trump. She should be ashamed that she can't shut down the most targetable candidate in political history in a state like this. You act like she's holding Trump within 3-4% margins in Kentucky or something.
Logged
john cage bubblegum
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 362


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: May 25, 2016, 04:06:33 pm »

Given that we're currently at an approximate tie nationally, a 2-4 point Trump lead fits about right given that NC voted 6 points more R than the country in 2012. 

If Clinton were to win the national PV by the same margin as Obama 2012, NC would be razor close, probably less than a point victory either way.
Logged
Vern
vern1988
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,359
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -3.13

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: May 25, 2016, 10:33:20 pm »

I believe Clinton will end up winning NC, once the ads start up this will go back to being a tie to a very small Clinton lead.
Logged
Ebsy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,725
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: May 26, 2016, 01:49:12 am »

I do not believe Jill Stein will actually be on the ballot in North Carolina.
Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,958
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: May 26, 2016, 07:35:35 am »

The last two really-close binary elections:


2004, NC   --  Dubya 56,  Kerry 43
2000, NC   --  Dubya 56,  Gore 43


To win the Presidency, Trump needs to win all the potentially-critical states of Colorado, Florida, Ohio, and Virginia... or make big strides in states like Iowa, New Hampshire, and Pennsylvania that have not gone for a Republican nominee for President more than once since at least 1988.

The 1990s:

1996, NC -- Clinton 44, Gore 48, Perot 7
1992, NC -- Clinton 42.7, Bush 43.4, Perot 14
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines