WI- Public Opinion Strategies: Clinton +12

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Oh, gosh, oh geez.  Dat Trump, he's so impolite, hey.  Hillary, at least you woont be embarrassed to have at da church fish fry.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

1. All those undecideds = problem

2. Further evidence that Trump's Midwest nice problem carries over to the general?

3. Really, really want to see a poll of Iowa now!

This.  And Minnesota, if anything to confirm/deny the "Minnesota inelasticity" theory.  Watch as MN polls +5.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

This one is weird. It has 11% undecided and 9% "would not vote". I guess the rest are "others".

Wisconsin might actually be one of the better states for third party candidates. They don't seem to like Clinton or Trump much.

In my 18 years in the state I never saw any third-party candidate other than Perot gain much traction, and he was more a protest vote than anything else.

Wisconsin is split down the middle between staunch conservatives and labor-progressive Democrats.  The former really don't like Trump, while the latter will unify behind Clinton, despite Sanders having won the primary.  Huge advantage to Clinton.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Shame they didn't test Johnson. Wisconsin has a history of high Libertarian result when faced with two unacceptable candidates. In the 2002 gubernatorial election, a dissident Republican ran on the Libertarian line and received 11% of the vote against two disliked major-party candidates (causing the actual Republican to lose the race, 45-41).

Oh yeah!  I totally voted for that guy.  I can't remember his name, though.



#NeverTrump can run a Johnson & Johnson campaign - Gary and Ron.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Clinton 43
Trump 31

http://www.federationforchildren.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/16296-WI-School-Choice-Memo-Slides.pdf

in my opinion, TRUMP's chance of winning.

MN > CT = OR >= WA = WI

Wait... what?