NY-Siena Research Clinton 52 Trump 31

[Seriously?]

Clinton winning by 21 would only be slightly better than Kerry's performance in 2004, Obama won NY by 27 in '08 and 26 in '12. Other poll had Cali +10 similar to Kerry in 2004.

Take NY, calibrate everything by 6 points and who wins the election? Hint: It's not Hillary!

That's the trend the red avatars should be looking at.

[Seriously?]

But the Trumpster told me NY is gonna be a battleground state.

Not this Trumpster. NY is a lost cause. As is California. If NY and CA get out of "safe/likely" and into "leaning" though, this race is over because the rest of the map is tilting Trump.

I am a realist. Not a blue hack. I don't even drink the OR and NJ is close Kool-Aid at this point until I see more data. I do see a uniform shift from 2008 though, reflecting the state of the polling that has this as a close race.