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Author Topic: GA-PPP: Trump comfortably ahead  (Read 2520 times)
JRP1994
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« on: June 01, 2016, 10:54:33 am »

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/06/trump-has-solid-lead-over-clinton-in-georgia.html

Trump: 45%
Clinton: 38%
Johnson: 6%
Stein: 2%

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StatesPoll
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« Reply #1 on: June 01, 2016, 10:57:32 am »


So sad results for Hillary Hooligans (HH)

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King Francis I
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« Reply #2 on: June 01, 2016, 10:58:34 am »

I think she will do better than Obama here because of demographics but that wont be enough for her to win the state.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: June 01, 2016, 11:00:32 am »


Doing a point better than Obama in 2012 is a sad result?
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Angrie
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« Reply #4 on: June 01, 2016, 11:03:27 am »

Without 3rd parties it is:

Trump 49%
Clinton 40%
Not Sure 11%

So Trump's lead goes up a bit.
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #5 on: June 01, 2016, 11:06:39 am »


Doing a point better than Obama in 2012 is a sad result?

Election 2012 Results in GA:  Romney 53.3 | Romney 45.48   Spreads : Romney +7.82%
PPP Poll(MAY) in GA: TRUMP 45 | Hillary 38 | Johnson 6 | Stein 2  Spreads: TRUMP +7%

Considering Johnson and Stein were much weaker in 2012.
for Hillary, It isn't better results than Obama(2012) at all.

« Last Edit: June 01, 2016, 11:08:31 am by StatesPoll »Logged
henster
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« Reply #6 on: June 01, 2016, 11:07:54 am »

Trump's favorability here is 44/49 while Clinton's is 33/60 and H2Hs without Johnson/Steins name mentioned Trump leads 49/40. Few GA polls around this period but Romney led between 9-11 points at the time.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: June 01, 2016, 11:09:48 am »


Doing a point better than Obama in 2012 is a sad result?

Election 2012 Results in GA:  Romney 53.3 | Romney 45.48   Spreads : Romney 7.82%
PPP Poll(MAY) in GA: TRUMP 45 | Hillary 38 | Johnson 6 | Stein 2  Spreads: TRUMP +7%

Considering Johnson and Stein were much weaker in 2012.
It isn't better results than Obama(2012) at all.

Losing by 7 points is indeed better than losing by 8 points. Can you do simple math?
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #8 on: June 01, 2016, 11:10:50 am »

Sounds about right for a state that was 12 points more Republican than the nation in 2012.  Given where the race is at right now, this would mean Georgia is around 9-10 points more Republican than the country.

Perhaps some Democrats thought that Hillary could put Georgia in play in a close election, but that just wasn't realistic.  It will take a significant Hillary win (at minimum an Obama 2008-sized win) to carry Georgia.
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #9 on: June 01, 2016, 11:12:19 am »


Doing a point better than Obama in 2012 is a sad result?

Election 2012 Results in GA:  Romney 53.3 | Romney 45.48   Spreads : Romney 7.82%
PPP Poll(MAY) in GA: TRUMP 45 | Hillary 38 | Johnson 6 | Stein 2  Spreads: TRUMP +7%

Considering Johnson and Stein were much weaker in 2012.
It isn't better results than Obama(2012) at all.

Losing by 7 points is indeed better than losing by 8 points. Can you do simple math?

first. Obama was losing by 7.82 points. not 8.0 points.

Didn't u see, I already explained, Johnson and Stein were much weaker in 2012 than now?

« Last Edit: June 01, 2016, 11:14:04 am by StatesPoll »Logged
IceSpear
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« Reply #10 on: June 01, 2016, 11:16:41 am »


Doing a point better than Obama in 2012 is a sad result?

Election 2012 Results in GA:  Romney 53.3 | Romney 45.48   Spreads : Romney 7.82%
PPP Poll(MAY) in GA: TRUMP 45 | Hillary 38 | Johnson 6 | Stein 2  Spreads: TRUMP +7%

Considering Johnson and Stein were much weaker in 2012.
It isn't better results than Obama(2012) at all.

Losing by 7 points is indeed better than losing by 8 points. Can you do simple math?

first. Obama was losing by 7.82 points. not 8.0 points.

Didn't u see, I already explained, Johnson and Stein were much weaker in 2012 than now?

...who cares? It makes no difference for the margin.

And my apologies for not going to the hundredths place. Because that's totally relevant and everything.
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #11 on: June 01, 2016, 11:18:17 am »


Doing a point better than Obama in 2012 is a sad result?

Election 2012 Results in GA:  Romney 53.3 | Roby 45.48   Spreads : Romney 7.82%
PPP Poll(MAY) in GA: TRUMP 45 | Hillary 38 | Johnson 6 | Stein 2  Spreads: TRUMP +7%

Considering Johnson and Stein were much weaker in 2012.
It isn't better results than Obama(2012) at all.

Losing by 7 points is indeed better than losing by 8 points. Can you do simple math?

Yes I can.

Romney vs Obama(2012) : 53.3 / 45.48 = 1.1719
TRUMP vs Hillary(PPP Poll, May,2016) : 45/38 = 1.1842

isn't that you who can't do simple math? bah~

seems for pro common core Hillary Supporter.  1.1719  is bigger than 1.1842

hahahaha




« Last Edit: June 01, 2016, 11:20:02 am by StatesPoll »Logged
JRP1994
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« Reply #12 on: June 01, 2016, 11:21:31 am »


Doing a point better than Obama in 2012 is a sad result?

Election 2012 Results in GA:  Romney 53.3 | Roby 45.48   Spreads : Romney 7.82%
PPP Poll(MAY) in GA: TRUMP 45 | Hillary 38 | Johnson 6 | Stein 2  Spreads: TRUMP +7%

Considering Johnson and Stein were much weaker in 2012.
It isn't better results than Obama(2012) at all.

Losing by 7 points is indeed better than losing by 8 points. Can you do simple math?

Yes I can.

Romney vs Obama(2012) : 53.3 / 45.48 = 1.1719
TRUMP vs Hillary(PPP Poll, May,2016) : 45/38 = 1.1842

isn't that you who can't do simple math? bah~

seems for pro common core Hillary Supporter.  1.1719  is bigger than 1.1842

hahahaha






#UnskewActualElectionResultsFromFourYearsAgo2K16
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #13 on: June 01, 2016, 11:27:17 am »


Doing a point better than Obama in 2012 is a sad result?

Election 2012 Results in GA:  Romney 53.3 | Roby 45.48   Spreads : Romney 7.82%
PPP Poll(MAY) in GA: TRUMP 45 | Hillary 38 | Johnson 6 | Stein 2  Spreads: TRUMP +7%

Considering Johnson and Stein were much weaker in 2012.
It isn't better results than Obama(2012) at all.

Losing by 7 points is indeed better than losing by 8 points. Can you do simple math?

Yes I can.

Romney vs Obama(2012) : 53.3 / 45.48 = 1.1719
TRUMP vs Hillary(PPP Poll, May,2016) : 45/38 = 1.1842

isn't that you who can't do simple math? bah~

seems for pro common core Hillary Supporter.  1.1719  is bigger than 1.1842

hahahaha






#UnskewActualElectionResultsFromFourYearsAgo2K16

Comparing the ratios is not a skewing.

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Maxwell
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« Reply #14 on: June 01, 2016, 11:29:37 am »

I was hoping for abnormal, but this looks pretty normal.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #15 on: June 01, 2016, 11:39:53 am »

80% of the sample is landline. Junk 👎🏿

Honestly though she should focus on NC/AZ, GA would just be icing.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #16 on: June 01, 2016, 11:42:04 am »

For reference, McCain was up by low, mid-double digits at the same point in 2008.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ga/georgia_mccain_vs_obama-596.html#polls
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Seriously?
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« Reply #17 on: June 01, 2016, 11:44:58 am »

80% of the sample is landline. Junk 👎🏿

Honestly though she should focus on NC/AZ, GA would just be icing.
This poll is roughly where it should be in a tied race. GA should be in the lean/likely cusp at the end of the day. It's not junk. PPP is very reputable.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #18 on: June 01, 2016, 11:46:23 am »

For reference, McCain was up by low, mid-double digits at the same point in 2008.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ga/georgia_mccain_vs_obama-596.html#polls

2012 is the better reference point. He was doing well in Missouri and Indiana in 2008.
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Joshua
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« Reply #19 on: June 01, 2016, 11:47:47 am »

Where are all the Berniebots?

Trump - 46
Sanders - 36
Johnson - 5
Stein - 1

Sad!
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EliteLX
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« Reply #20 on: June 01, 2016, 12:42:03 pm »

B..b..b..but muh lean D or swing state Georgia by 2016!

Donny proving the haters wrong, time and time again.
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Ljube
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« Reply #21 on: June 01, 2016, 12:42:33 pm »

I was hoping for abnormal, but this looks pretty normal.

Why would you expect anything abnormal in Georgia? They hate Hillary there.
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EliteLX
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« Reply #22 on: June 01, 2016, 01:00:26 pm »

I was hoping for abnormal, but this looks pretty normal.

If everything's a 2012 repeat right now, give or take PA, NH and AZ, do you think it turns into a 2008 repeat after Bernie's out?

There is a very unlikely chance this race looks anything like 2008, it's shaping up to be much more like 2012 if anything at all. If for some reason this was a 2012-redo, the day after election night would be absolutely exhausting for anybody who isn't in love with Hillary (enthusiasm for a Hillary presidency is most certainly not even near a majority). All that for nothing, huh?

Donald's day ones would probably be a mess.
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #23 on: June 01, 2016, 01:03:43 pm »

Well, if TRUMP already has a 7 point lead with Johnson polling so well, and Sanders does worse, then this state is not in play under any circumstances. Sorry, Hillarybots.
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #24 on: June 01, 2016, 02:00:39 pm »

Interesting to note that the head to head polling of 49-40 drops to 47-42 if Trump picks Gingrich as VP.

Also, Sanders is doing worse then Clinton here.
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