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  CA - ARG: Clinton +1
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Author Topic: CA - ARG: Clinton +1  (Read 1606 times)
Fusionmunster
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« on: June 03, 2016, 11:37:57 am »

http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/dem/cadem.html

Clinton - 48%
Sanders - 47%
Undecideds - 4%
Others - 1%
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #1 on: June 03, 2016, 11:38:50 am »

Congrats, Sanders!
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #2 on: June 03, 2016, 11:41:00 am »


If anything, the fact the Monmouth and Field are lining up with ARG makes me put more stock in LA times and SUSA.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #3 on: June 03, 2016, 11:45:43 am »


If anything, the fact the Monmouth and Field are lining up with ARG makes me put more stock in LA times and SUSA.

You mean Marist?
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #4 on: June 03, 2016, 11:46:39 am »


If anything, the fact the Monmouth and Field are lining up with ARG makes me put more stock in LA times and SUSA.

You mean Marist?

Yep, my bad.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: June 03, 2016, 12:09:11 pm »

Yeah, I'm not sure who this counts as good news for though.  Clinton is technically ahead (good for Bernie) but it's also the tightest California poll yet (good for Hillary).
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xingkerui
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« Reply #6 on: June 03, 2016, 01:42:35 pm »

Congrats to Sanders on winning CA, and congrats to Hillary on winning CA by double digits.
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jfern
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« Reply #7 on: June 03, 2016, 07:28:28 pm »


That would make this the most accurate poll, which actually wouldn't be too unlikely.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #8 on: June 03, 2016, 08:11:17 pm »

Yeah, I'm not sure who this counts as good news for though.  Clinton is technically ahead (good for Bernie) but it's also the tightest California poll yet (good for Hillary).

In the old days, ARG was always the least accurate poll, so Clinton +1 would mean that Clinton would win by a big margin, since all the other polls have her doing better.  It wasn't that ARG always got the winner wrong.  It was that they were always the farthest off from the real result.

However, in recent years, ARG is just a bad pollster.  They're as likely to be close as they are to be way off, as their numbers just seem to be random.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #9 on: June 09, 2016, 11:49:00 am »

Never change ARG.
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Ted Bessell
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« Reply #10 on: June 10, 2016, 02:34:08 pm »

They need to change their name from ARG to AAARGH
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