In which state would the previous poster do better in?

[RaphaelDLG]

Connecticut.

Montana or Arizona

[RaphaelDLG]

Wisconsin, narrowly.

New York or Massachusetts?

New York.

Ohio or Florida (as D)

[RaphaelDLG]

Texas

MA or CA.

CA, mostly because of the native son effect.

Colorado or Nevada as a Democrat

[RaphaelDLG]

Running as a Democrat, probably Nevada.

Wisconsin or New Hampshire?

Wisconsin, at least for this cycle.  Not only is it more Democratic, you'd play better there.

ETA:  IA vs NH

[RaphaelDLG]

It'd be close, but I'll say that the way things have seemed to be going recently, New Hampshire would be slightly better for you.

Texas or Montana?

Montana, for sure - it's arguably more Democratic, and it's close by.

IL vs DE (as D)

[RaphaelDLG]

Montana.

Colorado or Pennsylvania?

Colorado - more Democratic, more Western, more sandersesque

NV or WI (Democratic)

[RaphaelDLG]

I'll say Wisconsin by a bit, since they like their progressives (well, about half of them do.)

North Dakota or Tennessee?

ND, bc it's whiter and more western.  It's also a caucus.  Tennessee Dems are conservative Christians, mostly black.

[RaphaelDLG]

I'll say Wisconsin by a bit, since they like their progressives (well, about half of them do.)

North Dakota or Tennessee?

ND, bc it's whiter and more western.  It's also a caucus.  Tennessee Dems are conservative Christians, mostly black.

Wrong thread. This is for GE comparisons, not primary comparisons.

Anyway, for a GE comparison, ND seems like a better fit for xingkerui. Raphael didn't put one up.

Arizona or South Carolina?

My bad, and you're right.

Assuming you're not running against TRUMP, let's go with a native daughter effect and say barely South Carolina. 

Minnesota vs Michigan (Democrat)

ETA: I meant to say/imply "neighboring daughter"

[RaphaelDLG]

This is another hard one.  New Jersey, just because the trend is faster.

KS vs NE

[RaphaelDLG]

Oregon

California or Maryland?

Maryland. 

VA or NH?

[RaphaelDLG]

Tough call, but I'll go with Virginia.

New Mexico or Michigan?

New Mexico because muh rust belt whites.

Missouri or Indiana (Democrat)

[RaphaelDLG]

CT. Maine's too rural.

KS or ID?

Must be wrong thread (skip)

[RaphaelDLG]

Oregon or new Mexico? (Democrat)

[RaphaelDLG]

Indiana, because it's still probably more Democratic. 

Tennessee vs Georgia (as a Democrat)

[RaphaelDLG]

Both states are solidly democratic, obviously.

Turnout in Chicago would be significantly down, but you might swing a few whites from rural illinois over to your side.

If the Republicans run a Jeb Bush, or god forbid, a Mark Kirk, there'd be a huge R swing, as Connecticut is very secular.  If they run a Rubio or a Cruz, you probably get the expected Democratic percentage.

I don't have a strong opinion but I'll go with Illinois.

NEW YORK vs RHODE ISLAND

As a Democrat, probably still Georgia. Tennessee is a very tough sell for Democrats.

Nebraska or Louisiana?

I totally agree.  I'm a (hopefully not permanent) transplant and would probably have to pander significantly in multiple issue areas (cultural issues) to... not get elected to statewide office anyway.

[RaphaelDLG]

WI.

Maine or New Mexico?

Running as a Republican in 2016, New Mexico over Maine ATL.  This is just pretty much basic partisan splits, though you'd play pretty well in Maine Lumberjack based on what little I know about you.

Maine Lumberjack
New Mexico
Maine ATL
Maine Urban

ETA:  TOO LATE

SKIP

[RaphaelDLG]

for Peebs from last page:

Georgia over NE-2, though I don't feel very confident about it.  This is just based off of the fact that Atlanta is more liberal than Omaha.

On the other hand, Omaha is whiter and NE-2 more democratic in identification, and both are trending D.

ETA:
MINNESOTA VS NEVADA (as a Democrat)

[RaphaelDLG]

If you won in a landslide, Nevada due to elasticity. In a close race, Minnesota.

Iowa or New Hampshire (be serious, please )

Close, but probably New Hampshire, because it's more secular, and both would be tossups for you in 2016 (inb4 New Hampshire safe blue).

Massachusetts vs. Maryland (Democrat)

[RaphaelDLG]

Massachusetts by a bit, because muh progressives.

Washington or Rhode Island?

We're assuming you've won statewide office in this scenario.  It's kind of a tossup, but Rhode Island is so absurdly democratic.  If Obama did worse in Illinois twice, I'll say RI.

Connecticut vs Maine (Democratic)

[RaphaelDLG]

Wisconsin, though you'd do better considering PVI in IA than WI.

Minnesota or New Jersey(as a Democrat)?

New Jersey, of course, because higher Dem ID and home state advantage.  The far left wing would hold their nose and vote for you over the Republican option and you'd crush.

New York vs Rhode Island (Democrat)