Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET)

[politicallefty]

Still leading by a lot in South Dakota with 17% in.

It's a double-digit lead now.

[Boston Bread]

Bernie capped at 50.8 now in SD. This is close to being called for Clinton.

Almost 100000 votes were cast in 08 - right now under 10000 are in. I don't get how you can say Bernie is capped at only 51.

[yourelection]

Prospects of Bernie Sanders pulling of a major upset diminishing rapidly.

[/]

She's like 800 votes ahead...

[LLR]

SD county map is ugly

[NOVA Green]

SD could be called with 25 percent in.

I haven't seen anything come in from Sioux Falls yet other an 12 votes Hillary and 6 Bernie, although obviously her numbers in Eastern SD look good and we will see what comes in from the Western part of the state that accounts for 40% of the statewide vote.

[Skye]

Huh. Sanders losing SD would be quite the surprise.

[Wisconsin+17]

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1/17th of the votes are in. Bernie's not going to climb more than 1/17th of the remaining votes. That puts him at 50.8 percent, which would win him SD. So I can't call it for Hillary yet.

[Boston Bread]

SD county map is ugly

It's a pretty clean east-west split. IA, NE or MO were uglier than this, county wise.

[cinyc]

Unless Sanders dominates in the western part of the state, I think Clinton takes SD.

Nothing's really in from the major population center of Sioux Falls (mainly Minnehaha, a little in Lincoln County), or West River Pennington County (Rapid City).  I wouldn't draw any conclusions about South Dakota until we hear from Sioux Falls at least.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Massive NM tightening. Clinton only up 52-48 in heavily hispanic state.

[Gass3268]

Bernie keeping it close in New Mexico.

[LLR]

Huh. Sanders losing SD would be quite the surprise.

Most people called it this way, myself included

[ElectionsGuy]

It looks like there's only going to be about 42000 votes in SD for Democrats.

[Wisconsin+17]

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The neat part is because of the math, this is invariant across the whole state. It's harder to move big piles from smaller piles.

[LLR]

Bernie keeping it close in New Mexico.

We literally only know things about the two big cities, border counties should be heavily for Clinton.

[Xing]

What the hell is going on!? Is Sanders about to win NM and lose SD? Those are some weak sauce margins for Clinton in Santa Fe and Albuquerque...

[Boston Bread]

The NM counties reporting so far also went for Obama in 08, so I'm guessing they're the whiter parts of the state. (Obama did better with whites than nonwhites in NM I think)

[Wisconsin+17]

Clinton's nominal lead not enough in South Dakota to call. 50.13 cap for Bernie with 21 percent in.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Clinton getting 24 delegates in NJ to Sanders's 12 so far.

[ElectionsGuy]

Damn, Hillary barely leading in Bernalilo, NM.

[Wisconsin+17]

NM still TCTC for Hillary. Won't be called until half in for her. Long night for her in NM.

[LLR]

To those freaking out about New Mexico

1) We have data from 2 counties
2) Hillary is leading
3) Border counties should pad the margin again

also 1000 posts yay

[john cage bubblegum]

Hillary with narrow leads in Bernalillo county (which she lost by 3 in '08) and in Santa Fe County (which she lost by 17 in '08).

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Not a joke - Clinton up 68-25 in ND.