Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET)  (Read 67014 times)
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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Posts: 17,735
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Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« on: June 07, 2016, 01:03:10 PM »
Quote from: xingkerui on June 07, 2016, 12:59:00 PM
I still don't see why people are predicting that Clinton will win SD. She won in '08 because she campaigned heavily there, and it was also a closed primary. I mean, anything's possible, but it would go completely against the demographics for her to win there.

CA: Clinton 52-47
MT: Sanders 60-39
NJ: Clinton 61-39
NM: Clinton 56-44
ND: Sanders 66-34
SD: Sanders 55-45

There was also a poll (probably junk, but beggars can't be choosers) showing her up there recently. Seeing as neither really campaigned there, it's not unreasonable to think it might have just been staying Clinton +3 or whatever it was, particularly with national polls moving in her favor.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #1 on: June 07, 2016, 02:30:28 PM »
My guesses:

CA: Clinton 54, Sanders 45
NM: Clinton 59, Sanders 41
MT: Sanders 61, Clinton 39
ND: Sanders 65, Clinton 34
SD: Clinton 52, Sanders 48
NJ: Clinton 62, Sanders 38
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #2 on: June 07, 2016, 06:10:56 PM »
Quote from: Ronnie on June 07, 2016, 06:06:59 PM
I think my signature makes pretty clear whom I voted for today (in California) Smiley.

Is that a butterfly ballot?
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #3 on: June 07, 2016, 07:04:17 PM »
NYT graphics make it look like SD polls have closed. Is this the case?
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #4 on: June 07, 2016, 07:51:38 PM »
17.8% lead and 10,000 votes up - time to call it.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #5 on: June 07, 2016, 07:59:10 PM »
Sanders supporters are upset that some guy named Alex Law isn't winning the primary election for NJ-1 against an incumbent. He's currently behind 56 points.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #6 on: June 07, 2016, 08:03:32 PM »
Reddit reporting that Sanders is up 60 points in ND. Lol?
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #7 on: June 07, 2016, 09:11:18 PM »
Quote from: IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi on June 07, 2016, 09:09:27 PM
Clinton true lead down to about 1.4 percent in South Dakota.  2/3rds in.

Where are you getting this "true lead" number?
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #8 on: June 07, 2016, 09:14:21 PM »
Andrea Mitchell saying Sanders is planning mass layoffs.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #9 on: June 07, 2016, 09:19:05 PM »
Missoula will probably go 90-10 for Sanders (exaggeration, but only by a bit). Don't make any estimates until its vote comes in.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #10 on: June 07, 2016, 09:38:13 PM »
Clinton lead increasing in MT.

Come on! One of my top five favorite states! Don't let me down now!
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #11 on: June 07, 2016, 09:53:38 PM »
Sanders winning Gallatin County, MT (Bozeman), home to Montana State University, by less than 7 points. Probably not a great sign for him, although I still think he wins in the end.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #12 on: June 07, 2016, 10:08:00 PM »
So California assigns delegates by district? Why do they get away with that?
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #13 on: June 07, 2016, 10:22:29 PM »
Wow. The Fresno vote accounts for 64 of the 510 precincts. It's not just "initial results."
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #14 on: June 07, 2016, 10:26:09 PM »
Quote from: Progressive on June 07, 2016, 10:23:52 PM
At this point would we say that Hillary is over performing, underperforming, performing on par for CA?

It's hard to tell because it's early vote, but it's almost as if both candidates are underperforming. If I had to guess, it'll be a narrow Clinton win, but with less regional polarization than I was expecting.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #15 on: June 07, 2016, 10:27:50 PM »
MSNBC is showing Hillary up with the early vote in Santa Barbara county. That's probably a good sign for her.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #16 on: June 07, 2016, 10:35:49 PM »
Quote from: Sbane on June 07, 2016, 10:32:54 PM
Quote from: Thinking Crumpets Crumpet on June 07, 2016, 10:27:50 PM
MSNBC is showing Hillary up with the early vote in Santa Barbara county. That's probably a good sign for her.

I'm calling Santa Barbara County right now for Clinton....

Not only is she up, she's up 18 points.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #17 on: June 07, 2016, 10:51:49 PM »
SD for Hillary!
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #18 on: June 07, 2016, 10:57:19 PM »
Why do people not like that SD went for Clinton for map reasons? It's still contiguous.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #19 on: June 07, 2016, 11:11:44 PM »
The Clinton campaign just launched this website. The design is disturbingly similar to the "New Labour, New Danger" campaign.

https://www.republicansagainsttrump.org/
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #20 on: June 07, 2016, 11:16:07 PM »
LOL. Someone has hacked into Steve Kornacki's big board! Purple heart
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #21 on: June 07, 2016, 11:38:47 PM »
So, is this going to be the first ever blonde vs blonde presidential election?
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #22 on: June 08, 2016, 12:00:23 AM »
Live feed of Sanders's speech:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wWIbCtz_Xwk
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #23 on: June 08, 2016, 01:04:45 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 08, 2016, 01:01:35 AM
Quote from: Badger on June 08, 2016, 01:00:04 AM
Meh. He's just ending on a high note. He'll grudgingly come around in the next week or two, and leave fights to convention speaking time, rules, platform, etc.

Maybe.....

I took it that he's going to take his fight on the issues to Philadelphia, not his candidacy.

This. It didn't sound like he's still actually trying to be President.

Quote from: yourelection on June 08, 2016, 01:03:46 AM
Just got a picture in my head watching the Sanders speech of a certain knight in a Monty Python movie.

This one? ↓↓↓
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #24 on: June 08, 2016, 01:39:52 AM »
Quote from: afleitch on June 08, 2016, 01:29:39 AM
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 08, 2016, 01:22:26 AM
Question now is do I go to Sander's rally in DC or not? I love Bernie but I really really hate Berniebros and I know the people there would drive me nuts.

Over the next few days it should become clear that Bernie was in fact the master Berniebro Tongue

I can just see him ripping off his mask to reveal he's just some angry old white dude. Oh, wait...
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