FL-Public Policy Polling: Trump 41 Clinton 40
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  FL-Public Policy Polling: Trump 41 Clinton 40
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Author Topic: FL-Public Policy Polling: Trump 41 Clinton 40  (Read 4083 times)
HillOfANight
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« on: June 07, 2016, 01:46:32 PM »
« edited: June 07, 2016, 01:49:35 PM by HillOfANight »

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/06/rubio-least-popular-tough-general.html
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_FL_607161.pdf

Trump 41
Clinton 40
Johnson 4
Stein 2

Trump 45
Clinton 44

Clinton actually leads 45/34 with independents. But Trump has the slight overall edge because his 83/9 advantage with Republicans is a good deal better than the 77/14 one Clinton has with Democrats.
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Matty
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« Reply #1 on: June 07, 2016, 01:51:32 PM »

that 14% might be pandhandle dixiecrats. We saw Omalley actually get votes up there.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #2 on: June 07, 2016, 01:52:09 PM »

This poll also has Trump hilariously getting 27% of the Hispanic vote lol
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #3 on: June 07, 2016, 01:53:03 PM »

Clinton will get some boost among Dems in the next weeks, once Bernie calls it quits in the next days (and probably endorses her).

Still, she'll remain a trainwreck with Indies, which will keep her in a tie in the important swing states ...
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #4 on: June 07, 2016, 01:54:21 PM »

This poll also has Trump hilariously getting 27% of the Hispanic vote lol

Yes? That is about what I'd expect in Florida. Not just Cubans, but as Snowstalker corroborated on AAD, the Puerto Ricans tend to like him quite a bit too by Republican standards which is why the northeast numbers will be decent. Numbers with Hispanics with vary substantially throughout the country - the southwest being the absolute worst in all likelihood. Texas and Arizona are where he can reach the low teens.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #5 on: June 07, 2016, 01:54:51 PM »

But anyway - BEAUTIFUL POLLS!!!!!

(Trump won't win FL though)
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Matty
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« Reply #6 on: June 07, 2016, 01:55:19 PM »

Clinton will get some boost among Dems in the next weeks, once Bernie calls it quits in the next days (and probably endorses her).

Still, she'll remain a trainwreck with Indies, which will keep her in a tie in the important swing states ...

The problem is that bernie doesn't have many supporters in this state. He got shellacked by hillary here.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #7 on: June 07, 2016, 01:55:51 PM »

Clinton will get some boost among Dems in the next weeks, once Bernie calls it quits in the next days (and probably endorses her).

Still, she'll remain a trainwreck with Indies, which will keep her in a tie in the important swing states ...

The problem is that bernie doesn't have many supporters in this state. He got shellacked by hillary here.

Everyone matters in FL.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #8 on: June 07, 2016, 01:56:40 PM »

Clinton will get some boost among Dems in the next weeks, once Bernie calls it quits in the next days (and probably endorses her).

Still, she'll remain a trainwreck with Indies, which will keep her in a tie in the important swing states ...

The problem is that bernie doesn't have many supporters in this state. He got shellacked by hillary here.

He has enough in that 14%, and in a 1 to 2 point race any small boost will be enough.
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Ljube
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« Reply #9 on: June 07, 2016, 01:57:05 PM »

But anyway - BEAUTIFUL POLLS!!!!!

(Trump won't win FL though)

Why wouldn't Trump win Florida?

I expect Trump to win more Florida Hispanics, probably in the 35% range.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #10 on: June 07, 2016, 01:59:06 PM »

Bernie's fault, but yes, this will be close.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #11 on: June 07, 2016, 02:01:13 PM »

Glorious news!
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #12 on: June 07, 2016, 02:01:39 PM »

Clinton will get some boost among Dems in the next weeks, once Bernie calls it quits in the next days (and probably endorses her).

Still, she'll remain a trainwreck with Indies, which will keep her in a tie in the important swing states ...

The problem is that bernie doesn't have many supporters in this state. He got shellacked by hillary here.

Everyone matters in FL.

I don't know if every vote matters *evil laugh*
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Dereich
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« Reply #13 on: June 07, 2016, 02:03:07 PM »

Clinton will get some boost among Dems in the next weeks, once Bernie calls it quits in the next days (and probably endorses her).

Still, she'll remain a trainwreck with Indies, which will keep her in a tie in the important swing states ...

The problem is that bernie doesn't have many supporters in this state. He got shellacked by hillary here.

Bernie won around a third of the democrats in the state. Around half of these aren't yet saying they'll vote for Hillary, but probably will once Bernie is finally gone. Obama won 90% of Florida Democrats in 2012 and Hillary will win about the same number this year, give or take a percent or two.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #14 on: June 07, 2016, 02:03:15 PM »

Sanders polls the same as Clinton (40/40). This is starting to become a pattern as everyone realizes he lost.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #15 on: June 07, 2016, 02:03:43 PM »

that 14% might be pandhandle dixiecrats. We saw Omalley actually get votes up there.

The biggest undecided groups are those between 18-29 and 30-45, both of which Clinton has big leads with. Only place for her to go is up.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #16 on: June 07, 2016, 02:04:10 PM »

Bernie's fault, but yes, this will be close.

lol
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Ebsy
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« Reply #17 on: June 07, 2016, 02:04:14 PM »

Not a bad poll for Clinton considering her advantage among independents.
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Green Line
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« Reply #18 on: June 07, 2016, 02:05:02 PM »

When are they going to stop polling Trump v Bernie?  It's over!
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Matty
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« Reply #19 on: June 07, 2016, 02:07:52 PM »

I swear to god the "muh bernie voters hurting hillary" is approaching unskew level stupidity.
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Bull Moose Base
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« Reply #20 on: June 07, 2016, 02:07:52 PM »

Not feeling too confident in America's ability to not elect Donald Trump.
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #21 on: June 07, 2016, 02:09:59 PM »

Looks like Trump's comments on the judge haven't hurt him
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Ljube
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« Reply #22 on: June 07, 2016, 02:11:42 PM »

Looks like Trump's comments on the judge haven't hurt him

If anything, these comments will help him, cause that judge is really biased against Trump.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #23 on: June 07, 2016, 02:13:47 PM »

Looks like Trump's comments on the judge haven't hurt him

This was in the field June 2-5. The GOP started to disavow him yesterday and the media has really started to focus on this story.
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Dereich
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« Reply #24 on: June 07, 2016, 02:16:11 PM »

I swear to god the "muh bernie voters hurting hillary" is approaching unskew level stupidity.

Parties unify when primaries end; it's something reliable that can be counted on with examples in practically every election in the modern era. Trump, undoubtably one of the least popular nominees to run for president, has united the GOP even though just a few months prior 40% of the party was frightened of him. I have yet to see one compelling reason Hillary won't win 90% or so of Democrats that EVERY Democratic candidate can expect to win.
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