http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/fl/florida_romney_vs_obama-1883.htmlhttp://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/fl/florida_mccain_vs_obama-418.htmlBoth averages within the margin of error, with Romney having a +1.5 average. McCain was mostly ahead all the way until the end of September, while Romney and Obama constantly switched off. In the end, Obama won both times.
In the past generation, Florida has almost always been close, so I don't think anyone should be claiming advantages in FL unless their polls show them
constantly leading by gaping margins.