FL-13/St. Pete Polls: Clinton+9

[Tender Branson]

This poll of 746 Florida likely voters was conducted on June 9th, 2016. This poll used the
registered voter lists supplied by the state of Florida as of May 3, 2016. The sample of voters that were contacted included random samples of registered voters within the boundaries of Florida’s 13th Congressional District.

If the general election for U.S. Congress were held today, and the candidates were
Republican David Jolly and Democrat Charlie Crist, who would you vote for?

Jolly: 44.3%
Crist: 43.7%
Unsure: 12.0%

In the race for President, if the candidates were Republican Donald Trump, Democrat
Hillary Clinton and Libertarian Gary Johnson, who would you vote for?

Clinton: 46.5%
Trump: 37.3%
Johnson: 9.3%
Unsure: 6.8%

http://stpetepolls.org/files/StPetePolls_2016_CD13_June9_A83E.pdf

FL-13 was 50-49 Obama in 2012 and 52-47 McCain in 2008.

[136or142]

FL-13 was 50-49 Obama in 2012 and 52-47 McCain in 2008.

Are those the numbers before or after the redistricting?

[Dr. Arch]

Wowza, that's big.

[Ebsy]

I think the new district was Obama +10.

[Skye]

lol, imagine if Crist lost again?

[pbrower2a]

Is this about Florida in general or only about one district?

[Young Conservative]

In the newly redistricted district Jolly still leads?? that's impressive.

[Ebsy]

This district is very white compared to Florida overall, even if it is heavily Democratic. Clinton ahead by 9 means Trump isn't doing that much better among Florida whites.

[HAnnA MArin County]

Haven't most Florida polls shown her doing better with white voters there than Obama did?

[politicallefty]

I think the new district was Obama +10.

Yeah, so FL is basically tied right now. Seems to confirm the other polls. Let's just hope that this election won't come down to FL.

I don't think the status quo in FL-13 tells us anything. Hillary may very well be disproportionately outperforming Obama in South Florida. What if she wins Miami-Dade by 30%, Broward by 40%, and Palm Beach by 20-25%?

[HillOfANight]

I think the new district was Obama +10.

Yeah, so FL is basically tied right now. Seems to confirm the other polls. Let's just hope that this election won't come down to FL.

I don't think the status quo in FL-13 tells us anything. Hillary may very well be disproportionately outperforming Obama in South Florida. What if she wins Miami-Dade by 30%, Broward by 40%, and Palm Beach by 20-25%?

http://mobile.nytimes.com/2016/05/30/us/politics/donald-trump-general-election-battleground.html

Mr. Trump about even with Mrs. Clinton statewide, but losing a band of southeastern counties, including Miami-Dade and Broward, by 38 percentage points.