Current Competitive State Ratings (subject to revision)

[Senator-elect Spark]

These ratings are based on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, current polling data, the status of the state and my own personal prediction on the final margin of the PV in that particular state.

Competitive state ratings:

OH: Lean R, Tie, PV R +1.5
PA: Toss-up, Tie, PV D +1
FL: Toss-up, D +3, PV D +2
IA: Lean R, D +2, PV D +2
CO: Toss-up, D +1, PV R +1.4
NH: Lean D, D +3, PV D +2
VA: Lean D, D +5, PV D +3
NC: Lean R, D +2, PV R +2.7
NV: Likely D, D +6, PV D +6
MI: Lean D, D +4, PV D +2
WI: Likely D, D +11, PV D +6
MN: Lean D, D +5, PV D+4
IN: Likely R, R +7, PV R +9
AZ: Lean R, D +3, PV R +4
GA: Likely R, R +9, PV R +9
MO: Lean R, R +7, PV R +8.7
UT: Lean R, Tie, PV R +6

[amdcpus]

lol

[Sir Mohamed]

…meaning the Trumpster will win by a substancial margin?

[Mallow]

Let's give Trump the benefit of the doubt and say it's a Clinton+4 national margin, to make it actually "competitive":

OH: Tossup, R+0.5
FL: Tossup, D+0.6
PA: Tossup, D+1.9
NC: Lean R, R+2.3
IA: Lean D, D+3.8
MN: Lean D, D+4.1
VA: Lean D, D+4.2
NH: Lean D, D+4.3
AZ: Lean R, R+4.7
WI: Likely D, D+6.6
MI: Likely D, D+8.2
TX: Likely R, R+9.6
...
GA: Safe R, R+10.8
IN: Safe R, R+11.0
CO: Safe D, D+11.5
MO: Safe R, R+14.2
NV: Safe D, D+16.3
UT: Safe R, R+18.0

[Illiniwek]

lolz

[ProudModerate2]

lol

[Virginiá]

I refuse to believe that Trump, the man constantly offending everyone, and with no campaign, is going to win Iowa after calling them all stupid on freakin video. Are we now saying that Trump will perform fine in Iowa after Clinton spends the fall saturating their state with ads consisting of that clip? And that's on top of all the damaging material she has available to weaponize.