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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  CBS National Poll: Clinton +6
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Author Topic: CBS National Poll: Clinton +6  (Read 1338 times)
Castro
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« on: June 15, 2016, 06:00:58 pm »
« edited: June 15, 2016, 06:05:14 pm by Castro »

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http://www.cbsnews.com/news/clinton-maintains-lead-after-claiming-nomination-cbs-news-poll/
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Castro
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« Reply #1 on: June 15, 2016, 06:03:57 pm »

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Peters/Daines more vulnerable than Shaheen/Ernst
IndyRep
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« Reply #2 on: June 15, 2016, 06:07:51 pm »

Junky crosstabs, but looks like Democrats are more united than Republicans...
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Castro
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« Reply #3 on: June 15, 2016, 06:17:56 pm »

Junky crosstabs, but looks like Democrats are more united than Republicans...

If Clinton leads among college whites by as much as Trump leads among non college whites, I feel like she'd be leading nationally by a lot more than 6.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #4 on: June 15, 2016, 06:25:33 pm »

Junky crosstabs, but looks like Democrats are more united than Republicans...

If Clinton leads among college whites by as much as Trump leads among non college whites, I feel like she'd be leading nationally by a lot more than 6.
Yeah, plugging some of these numbers into the 538 Calculator, she would be up like 7 or 8 with those numbers.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #5 on: June 15, 2016, 06:28:18 pm »

If Hillary is actually winning by 20+ among college-educated whites, November 8th is gonna be a sad day for Republicans.
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Holmes
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« Reply #6 on: June 15, 2016, 06:34:40 pm »

If Hillary is actually winning by 20+ among college-educated whites, November 8th is gonna be a sad day for Republicans.

Didn't Romney win this demographic?
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dspNY
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« Reply #7 on: June 15, 2016, 06:42:28 pm »

If Hillary is winning college educated whites by 20 points she's up double digits when her advantages with minority voters (and Trump's colossal disadvantages) are taken into account. CBS sampled a larger # of non-college educated whites to get Clinton +6
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #8 on: June 15, 2016, 06:43:05 pm »

If Hillary is actually winning by 20+ among college-educated whites, November 8th is gonna be a sad day for Republicans.

Didn't Romney win this demographic?

Yes.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #9 on: June 15, 2016, 06:43:21 pm »

Clinton up 8 with white women!
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #10 on: June 15, 2016, 06:50:32 pm »

Clinton should definitely be winning by more than 6 points overall if she's only losing white voters by 6 points.  I also don't see numbers for Latino voters in the crosstabs.  Do they not have separate categories for Non-Hispanic White and Latinos, and that's helping her numbers with whites?  Or is this just an example of funky sub-samples?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #11 on: June 15, 2016, 07:18:16 pm »

I love the "honest and trustworthy" numbers for both of them.
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Vosem
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« Reply #12 on: June 15, 2016, 09:22:46 pm »

Love that both candidates have lost support since February. Exactly what they deserve.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #13 on: June 15, 2016, 10:13:33 pm »

Clinton should definitely be winning by more than 6 points overall if she's only losing white voters by 6 points.  I also don't see numbers for Latino voters in the crosstabs.  Do they not have separate categories for Non-Hispanic White and Latinos, and that's helping her numbers with whites?  Or is this just an example of funky sub-samples?

My question as well.
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Reginald
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« Reply #14 on: June 15, 2016, 11:45:36 pm »

The CBS poll last month (though it was shared with NYT) had the same margin, but much lower undecideds. Trump was winning whites by 12 and was at 85% with Republicans in that poll.
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Desroko
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« Reply #15 on: June 16, 2016, 01:15:13 am »

The numbers that really matter:

Quote
Fifty-one percent expect Hillary Clinton to finally win the 2016 presidential election, compared to just 35% that expects Trump to win.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #16 on: June 16, 2016, 04:00:46 am »

The numbers that really matter:

Quote
Fifty-one percent expect Hillary Clinton to finally win the 2016 presidential election, compared to just 35% that expects Trump to win.

Yep. At least here in my neighborhood this has always been the most accurately predictive part of the polls, regardless of their topline numbers. 
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