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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  UT-SurveyUSA/Salt Lake Tribune: Utah still in play (search mode)
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Author Topic: UT-SurveyUSA/Salt Lake Tribune: Utah still in play  (Read 3537 times)
IceSpear
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Posts: 30,811
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Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

« on: June 12, 2016, 01:11:14 am »

#RickGrimesVindicated
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IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,811
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

« Reply #1 on: June 12, 2016, 02:25:26 am »

If we still get competitive Utah polls 2-3 months from now, at what point does "Swing State Utah" stop being a joke?

I'll believe it if it's still showing it in September. But like someone else said, even if it is, it'll probably end up being like the Dakotas in 2008 anyway.
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IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,811
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

« Reply #2 on: June 12, 2016, 01:46:10 pm »

I, for one, am taking this poll seriously. Trump should make it a point at the RNC to lambaste and completely humiliate Mitt Romney in any way possible.

I don't think that would help. I think most Utahns are Mormons/Romney lovers first and Republicans second. If anything it could drive a wedge between the GOP and the Mormons that lasts beyond a single election cycle.
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IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,811
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

« Reply #3 on: June 12, 2016, 01:47:07 pm »

> In before IceSpear proclaims it a junk poll because neither candidate is at or above 45%.

It at least makes sense in Utah, due to the unique dynamics in the state.
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IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,811
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

« Reply #4 on: June 12, 2016, 02:56:49 pm »

Unless Romney himself runs independently, there's just no way that Clinton wins Utah. It's not happening folks.

Romney would actually win Utah in that scenario

And probably comfortably, with Trump getting a distant 3rd. I could see something like:

Romney 50
Clinton 30
Trump 20
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IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,811
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

« Reply #5 on: June 14, 2016, 05:30:16 pm »

LOL, look at the age 18-34 crosstab:

Johnson 32
Clinton 26
Trump 16
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