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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  UT-SurveyUSA/Salt Lake Tribune: Utah still in play (search mode)
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Author Topic: UT-SurveyUSA/Salt Lake Tribune: Utah still in play  (Read 3672 times)
Ljube
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,322
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

« on: June 12, 2016, 11:01:27 am »

This is insane.
Can someone explain to me why we have so many Utah polls this year?

At this point I would like to see some polls of Nebraska and South Dakota -- and discover whether the Zogby poll in Kansas is valid. National polls are swinging wildly.

The Zogby poll in Kansas is not valid.
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Ljube
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,322
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

« Reply #1 on: June 12, 2016, 02:23:41 pm »

This is insane.
Can someone explain to me why we have so many Utah polls this year?

At this point I would like to see some polls of Nebraska and South Dakota -- and discover whether the Zogby poll in Kansas is valid. National polls are swinging wildly.

The Zogby poll in Kansas is not valid.

There will be more polls of Kansas -- but long enough from now that the next poll will not need be averaged against the Zogby poll.

If you don't like the poll for some reason other than the poll being taken by a political party, pressure group, lobbying firm, union, or ethnic-advocacy group or that the pollster is a sham, then you will need to live with such polls as are available.

...Unlike some other poll-aggregators I do not offer running averages. A candidate can make a fool of himself; scandals can emerge.

I'd like to remind you of Kansas polls in 2014. The average of polls was off by 12 points or so.

I would not trust any Kansas poll which is not in line with the state fundamentals.
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