Predict the previous poster's percentage in the previous state's primary/caucus
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  Predict the previous poster's percentage in the previous state's primary/caucus
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President of the civil service full of trans activists
Peebs
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« on: June 12, 2016, 04:27:45 PM »
« edited: June 12, 2016, 05:29:23 PM by Committeewoman Peebs »

Based on TDAS04's thread for %s in the GE. I'll start. Make sure you also specify the amount of candidates.

Texas with four candidates.
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RaphaelDLG
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« Reply #1 on: June 12, 2016, 05:18:21 PM »

How many candidates are you assuming are in the field?

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President of the civil service full of trans activists
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« Reply #2 on: June 12, 2016, 05:19:49 PM »

How many candidates are you assuming are in the field?

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Good point. I'll go with four.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #3 on: June 12, 2016, 08:12:13 PM »

Texas Gubernatorial Primary
Lloyd Bentsen's ghost: 32%
Peebs: 27%
Julian Castro: 26%
Ann Richards's ghost: 15%

Pennsylvania
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President of the civil service full of trans activists
Peebs
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« Reply #4 on: June 12, 2016, 08:14:03 PM »

How many candidates?
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TDAS04
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« Reply #5 on: June 12, 2016, 08:15:01 PM »


4
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cxs018
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« Reply #6 on: June 12, 2016, 08:20:04 PM »

Pennsylvania Senate primary, 2016:

Joe Sestak - 26.9%
Katie McGinty - 26.2%
TDAS - 23.1%
Fetterman - 18.4%

New Hampshire, with 5 candidates
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President of the civil service full of trans activists
Peebs
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« Reply #7 on: June 12, 2016, 08:29:26 PM »

2016 Gubernatorial Dem Primary
Christopher X. Smith: 28.8%
John Lynch: 28.2%
Ann McLane Kuster: 20.9%
Carol Shea-Porter: 20.2%
Jed Bartlet: 4.9%
Massachusetts with 6 candidates.
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: June 14, 2016, 08:31:34 PM »

But the NH women vote only adds up to 41%

Either way...

Massachusetts Senatorial primary, 2020

Congressman Seth Moulton - 29.0%
Attorney General Maura Healey - 27.6%
Mayor Setti Warren - 21.7%
Phoebe Debs - 14.8%
State Senator Dan Wolf - 6.2%
State Representative Denise Garlick - 0.6%

Initially thought to be a three-way primary between Moulton, Healey, and Warren, the race for the retiring Ed Markey's seat ended up becoming much more complex when grassroots progressives turned to outsider Phoebe Debs. Although Debs barely won progressives in a crowded field, she had trouble getting support from more moderate Democrats, and as a result fell behind Moulton, Healey, and Warren, although she overperformed on Election Day.

New York, with 5 candidates.
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President of the civil service full of trans activists
Peebs
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« Reply #9 on: June 14, 2016, 11:50:23 PM »

Well, the NH men turned out in droves for Bartlet, Lynch, and you to stick it to their harpy wives for, like, being women or something, polling just enough to become 59% of people that voted.
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