CA-USC/LA Times: Clinton +30
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  CA-USC/LA Times: Clinton +30
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Author Topic: CA-USC/LA Times: Clinton +30  (Read 2448 times)
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #25 on: June 14, 2016, 08:52:03 AM »


But, but, but… the Trumpster told me that he can win the Golden State.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #26 on: June 14, 2016, 12:19:05 PM »
« Edited: June 14, 2016, 12:26:08 PM by Seriously? »


You know that the election is still 5 months away, right?
Of course.

I am well aware that just about all of the national polls and some of the state polls are using RV instead of LV. 

3 of the 5 most recent California polls were LV. (C+14, C+10, C+15) The other two were RV (C+30, C+20). The RV polls were more pro-Clinton. Just putting that out there.

As I have stated, Trump will lose CA by 20-25 points at the end of the day, barring some uniform national swing towards the Donald. (I don't see a ton of that in a contested open election).
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President Johnson
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« Reply #27 on: June 14, 2016, 12:20:03 PM »

I wonder why they poll states like California. TRUMP has no chance here.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #28 on: June 14, 2016, 12:27:02 PM »
« Edited: June 14, 2016, 12:57:27 PM by Seriously? »

I wonder why they poll states like California. TRUMP has no chance here.
Downticket races. And a lot of the polling sans this survey were done at primary time, where it made sense to poll. (Marginal additional costs to ask the GE question).
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IceSpear
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« Reply #29 on: June 14, 2016, 01:46:24 PM »

I wonder why they poll states like California. TRUMP has no chance here.

Not according to TRUMP. Tongue
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dspNY
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« Reply #30 on: June 14, 2016, 08:16:39 PM »

This is more about the race going back to Clinton +9ish nationally than it is about California itself or the electoral college.

A uniform swing with CA at Dem +30 would move any state the GOP won by 7 or less in 2012 into the Dem column, which means NC goes Dem and GA, AZ, MO and IN are close
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HAnnA MArin County
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« Reply #31 on: June 14, 2016, 11:06:26 PM »

In before jfern asking why they didn't poll Sanders/claim that Sanders would be beating Trump by 50 points in California. Junk poll!
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