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  2016 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  WI-PPP: Feingold +10 (search mode)
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Author Topic: WI-PPP: Feingold +10  (Read 2050 times)
Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

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« on: June 13, 2016, 11:41:37 am »

Internal poll ---> Trash
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
Atlas Politician
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*****
Posts: 21,587
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

« Reply #1 on: June 13, 2016, 12:59:40 pm »


It's a fact that internal polls are carefully manipulated to please the cilent.
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,587
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

« Reply #2 on: June 13, 2016, 08:09:48 pm »

Seems about right. Johnson is pretty much doomed unless Trump wins nationally by like 10.

At this point, Democrats are basically guaranteed to win FL, WI, IL and NH. Looks like the GOP will have to win every other competitive race (definitely possible) and win NV (possible, but difficult) if they don't want to lose the Senate. But right now, Democrats are favored to retake the Senate.
I don't think if you agree with me or not on what I will say but I now believe it is definitely possible the dems retake the senate and that trump could pull a narrow win: unlikely but it was unbelievable before.

My prediction, the democrats pick up 7 seats, I believe they are clearly favored to win the 6 seats more favourable to them, for the 7th seat (AZ, MO, IA, NC,...), I believe individually each gop candidate is favored to be reelected (that can change) but that the probably is higher than at least 1 of them is defeated than all of them reelected.

Except the Democrats aren't clearly favored to pick up 6 seats, they're clearly favored to pick up 2: WI and IL. The rest are at least somewhat ambiguous (FL, NH) or the Republican is more likely to win (OH, PA).
Portman and Toomey arent going to survive if Clinton carries their state which is likely.

Every poll out there shows  Toomey running ahead of Trump, and McGinty is a terrible candidate. PA is likely R.
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,587
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

« Reply #3 on: June 13, 2016, 11:15:42 pm »
« Edited: June 13, 2016, 11:17:15 pm by Dwarven Dragon »

Seems about right. Johnson is pretty much doomed unless Trump wins nationally by like 10.

At this point, Democrats are basically guaranteed to win FL, WI, IL and NH. Looks like the GOP will have to win every other competitive race (definitely possible) and win NV (possible, but difficult) if they don't want to lose the Senate. But right now, Democrats are favored to retake the Senate.
I don't think if you agree with me or not on what I will say but I now believe it is definitely possible the dems retake the senate and that trump could pull a narrow win: unlikely but it was unbelievable before.

My prediction, the democrats pick up 7 seats, I believe they are clearly favored to win the 6 seats more favourable to them, for the 7th seat (AZ, MO, IA, NC,...), I believe individually each gop candidate is favored to be reelected (that can change) but that the probably is higher than at least 1 of them is defeated than all of them reelected.

Except the Democrats aren't clearly favored to pick up 6 seats, they're clearly favored to pick up 2: WI and IL. The rest are at least somewhat ambiguous (FL, NH) or the Republican is more likely to win (OH, PA).
Portman and Toomey arent going to survive if Clinton carries their state which is likely.

Every poll out there shows  Toomey running ahead of Trump, and McGinty is a terrible candidate. PA is likely R.

I hate all your posts.

Ah, it's the old "I actually don't have a counterargument, so I'll just bash the other party to disguise my inability to argue the point.".

Toomey won re-election the moment democrats decided to nominate a political neophyte due to old grudges. She only won the primary because "Obama endorsed me!" gets you lots of "free" votes in a democrats-only contest. It doesn't work that way in the general.
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,587
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

« Reply #4 on: June 14, 2016, 01:23:24 am »

If this works out, I'm really looking forward to the Udall-Gardner re-match in 2020!

If colorado actually votes to have a senator that quite frankly loves abortion despite rejecting him six years earlier, I will lose any and all positive feelings toward the state.
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