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  PPP-NH: Hassan +3
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Author Topic: PPP-NH: Hassan +3  (Read 1677 times)
Ebsy
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« on: June 13, 2016, 11:36:24 am »
« edited: June 13, 2016, 11:38:00 am by Ebsy »

https://www.scribd.com/doc/315391834/MoveOn-NH-Senate-Survey-Results

Hassan: 47
Ayotte: 44
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Neoliberal EDUCATED Kansan
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« Reply #1 on: June 13, 2016, 11:36:48 am »

Ayotte is toast. This race is over.
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2 on: June 13, 2016, 11:40:28 am »

Internal Poll -------> Trash
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #3 on: June 13, 2016, 12:09:32 pm »

Also, this proves that no one could have beaten Shaheen in 2014. The fact that Brown did so well is truly amazing. NH Republicans are a dying breed. Cheesy
Right you are, my friend. The GOP really needs to wake up and realize that New Hampshire is a lean/likely D state at this point. Climbing Maggie has nowhere to go but up in polls at this point. They should abandon Ayotte, and focus on defending OH, PA, AZ, and picking up NV.
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Xing
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« Reply #4 on: June 13, 2016, 12:14:08 pm »

Wow, if Republicans lose this race and Florida, control of the senate is virtually gone for them.
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #5 on: June 13, 2016, 12:23:39 pm »

Also, this proves that no one could have beaten Shaheen in 2014. The fact that Brown did so well is truly amazing. NH Republicans are a dying breed. Cheesy
Indy Rep explain how in a race where Hassan has lead in only two polls this year both within the margin of error, this race should be called Safe Hassan?
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #6 on: June 13, 2016, 12:43:47 pm »

^ Yeah, especially when this is an internal poll, which are always manipulated to make the race look more like the client wants it to than it actually does, so the pollster gets hired again and stays in business.
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #7 on: June 13, 2016, 01:29:55 pm »

^ Yeah, especially when this is an internal poll, which are always manipulated to make the race look more like the client wants it to than it actually does, so the pollster gets hired again and stays in business.
They can be legitimate, however they often only release polls that are favorable towards them. Meaning they may have conducted 5 polls but only found one to be favorable towards them (the one that is released )   
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xingkerui
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« Reply #8 on: June 13, 2016, 01:44:38 pm »

Wow, if Republicans lose this race and Florida, control of the senate is virtually gone for them.

NV will be competitive.

Right, but I think Trump will put an anchor on Heck. He could still win with some luck, but Republicans also have to hold every other seat. That's a tall order if they're doing poorly in IL, WI, FL, and NH.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #9 on: June 13, 2016, 01:45:37 pm »

Also, this proves that no one could have beaten Shaheen in 2014. The fact that Brown did so well is truly amazing. NH Republicans are a dying breed. Cheesy
Indy Rep explain how in a race where Hassan has lead in only two polls this year both within the margin of error, this race should be called Safe Hassan?

One of the most popular governors in the country who is battle-tested running against a conservative Republican Senator in a deep blue state. Ayotte is more vulnerable than Johnson or Kirk. But that's just my opinion, of course.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: June 14, 2016, 08:20:30 am »

Excellent News!
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #11 on: June 14, 2016, 03:26:12 pm »

Ayotte is toast. This race is over.

But what about the elastic independent swing voter women that voted for Kelly in 2010? Do you think they'll abandon her?
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #12 on: June 14, 2016, 03:36:26 pm »

New Poll: New Hampshire Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2016-06-09

Summary: D: 47%, R: 44%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Anonymous
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« Reply #13 on: June 16, 2016, 01:09:15 am »

I expected to see more than four posts from TNVolunteer on this thread.

Now would be a good time for Democrats to go after "Me Too" Kelly on her shameless gun vote following Newtown.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #14 on: June 16, 2016, 01:19:57 am »

I expected to see more than four posts from TNVolunteer on this thread.

Now would be a good time for Democrats to go after "Me Too" Kelly on her shameless gun vote following Newtown.
If this was a California race you were talking about, I'd say such an attack would work.  But this is NEW HAMPSHIRE.  Lots of gun owners in the state.
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JMT
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« Reply #15 on: June 16, 2016, 12:52:03 pm »

I like to see Hassan +3, I hope this holds. But I know this will likely be a tossup till election day. If I had to guess though I say Hassan wins in the end
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