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February 16, 2019, 05:08:37 am
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Author Topic: WI- Marquette Law Poll: Clinton +9  (Read 3604 times)
Wiz in Wis
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« on: June 15, 2016, 12:35:36 pm »

Also worth noting. Clinton does BETTER with LVs than RVs (usually GOP does better). Also, fully 1/4 of Sanders supporters still not behind Clinton. If she leads by 9 given that... wow.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #1 on: June 16, 2016, 10:01:49 am »

A lot of apathy/anger with the candidates in Wisconsin, as it was a Sanders/Cruz state. Its almost unprecedented for both parties to have more than a quarter dissaproval of your own nominee in a state. The Milwaukee area Republicans still hate Trump, I bet a lot of that 'won't vote/other' is coming from there for Republicans. I'm guessing Waukesha County turns out something like this...

Trump: 58%
Clinton: 37%
Johnson/Other: 5%

Madison (Dane) something like this:

Clinton: 68%
Trump: 27%
Johnson/Other: 5%

Among registered voters (and it's too early to look at likely voters imo) it's:

Clinton 42%
Trump 35%

And not that it matters now but:

Sanders 56%
Trump 31%

I wonder if Cruz or Rubio would be leading Clinton here... I bet Kasich would be at least.

Rubio would be I think as well, seems like he would be a perfect fit for the WOW counties.

Yeah, I would speculate that if Wisconsin was held on March 1st I think Rubio would've won the primary.

I think you're underestimating Clinton a bit in Dane County. No way Trump does as well as Romney. He'll have a hard time breaking 25%. Clinton will get 70, min. Waukesha looks right. I would imagine that Trump will win, but not by the margins he needs, the WOW region. I think he loses the Fox valley by 10.
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