ME-UNH: Clinton +7 overall, -2 in ME-02 (user search)
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  ME-UNH: Clinton +7 overall, -2 in ME-02 (search mode)
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Author Topic: ME-UNH: Clinton +7 overall, -2 in ME-02  (Read 2911 times)
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« on: June 25, 2016, 09:48:34 PM »

There's no way she's only up 7 in Maine at large. Still, in a close race, ME-02 could be close, so it's worth keeping an eye on.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: June 25, 2016, 10:55:54 PM »

There's no way she's only up 7 in Maine at large. Still, in a close race, ME-02 could be close, so it's worth keeping an eye on.
She's at Obama 2012 numbers with an average of C+5ish in the nationwide polling.

Clinton +7 in ME is plausible (Obama took it by roughly 6 in 2012). The ME-01/02 split is not. If the state ends up C+7, Clinton takes all 4 EVs.

Wait, what? Obama won it by 15% in 2012, and won ME-02 by 8.5%!
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