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Author Topic: FL-SurveyUSA: Clinton+4  (Read 1322 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: June 29, 2016, 07:26:00 am »

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Quote
Surveyed: 1,678 likely November voters
Margin of sampling error: 2.4%

This Florida Decides Exclusive Statewide Poll was conducted by SurveyUSA from June 25-27. Research began as soon as names on the primary ballots were finalized June 24. Most interviews were completed after the results of the British vote to leave the European Union were announced. Of the 2,000 adults interviewed, 1,873 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 555 were determined by SurveyUSA to be eligible and likely to vote in the Aug. 30, Democratic primary, and 618 were determined by SurveyUSA to be eligible and likely to vote in the Aug. 30, Republican primary. Only voters eligible and likely to vote in each primary were asked the Senate primary horse-race questions. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on their home telephone (66 percent of likely November voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (34 percent of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

http://www.baynews9.com/content/news/baynews9/news/article.html/content/news/articles/cfn/2016/6/29/florida_decides_polls_presidential_race.html
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: June 29, 2016, 07:28:38 am »

Interesting that Johnson and Stein are so low in this one, even though their names were asked.

But Clinton+4 looks fine ...
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WI is Safe D
Beef
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« Reply #2 on: June 29, 2016, 07:38:19 am »

Interesting that Johnson and Stein are so low in this one, even though their names were asked.

But Clinton+4 looks fine ...

Florida is a low-energy state for third parties.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #3 on: June 29, 2016, 07:41:06 am »

Since it's probably closer to where Johnson and Stein will end up in the end.
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Chaddyr23
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« Reply #4 on: June 29, 2016, 08:19:09 am »

I am still not believing Clinton has the edge in FL but Trump's polling poorly with all the Hispanic groups here
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Devils30
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« Reply #5 on: June 29, 2016, 08:24:56 am »

If the white vote margin is 6% Hillary is winning by more than 4 points.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #6 on: June 29, 2016, 08:27:19 am »

Interesting that Johnson and Stein are so low in this one, even though their names were asked.

But Clinton+4 looks fine ...

well, I don't expect them to be above that margin in the election.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #7 on: June 29, 2016, 08:29:02 am »

I am still not believing Clinton has the edge in FL but Trump's polling poorly with all the Hispanic groups here

Remember, Hillary has spent the most money here out of all battleground states in advertising. She is probably outperforming Obama among Hispanics and Trump is a really poor fit for the Palm Beach, Broward, Miami-Dade corridor.
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dspNY
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« Reply #8 on: June 29, 2016, 11:48:34 am »

I am still not believing Clinton has the edge in FL but Trump's polling poorly with all the Hispanic groups here

That means Clinton has the edge in Florida. Remember lots of Cubans are Republicans and even they look like they're going Dem this time
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Holmes
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« Reply #9 on: June 29, 2016, 12:31:48 pm »

Hillary is a good fit for Florida, even more than her husband. The olds, latinos and African-Americans love her. The state is less young than the nationwide average, which would normally hurt Democrats.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #10 on: June 29, 2016, 01:52:10 pm »

New Poll: Florida President by Survey USA on 2016-06-27

Summary: D: 46%, R: 42%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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NV less likely to flip than FL
xingkerui
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« Reply #11 on: June 29, 2016, 02:13:00 pm »

Trump does seem to have a Florida problem.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #12 on: June 29, 2016, 02:27:37 pm »

Trump does seem to have a Florida problem.

Just like Romney had an Ohio problem.
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IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
IndyRep
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« Reply #13 on: June 29, 2016, 04:33:34 pm »

Maybe Florida's days as a Tilt R state are over...
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