NH-ARG Clinton +5
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 23, 2024, 03:26:27 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  NH-ARG Clinton +5		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: NH-ARG Clinton +5  (Read 2226 times)
mds32
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,090
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: June 29, 2016, 11:43:24 AM »
ARG
New Hampshire
Clinton 47%
Trump 42%
Other 4%

http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/nh16-1.html
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: June 29, 2016, 11:55:03 AM »
Congrats Trump.
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,859
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: June 29, 2016, 12:02:41 PM »

For facing the prospect of getting less than 45% of the raw vote in New Hampshire? That happens rarely for a Republican nominee in a binary election.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: June 29, 2016, 12:10:02 PM »
Quote from: pbrower2a on June 29, 2016, 12:02:41 PM

For facing the prospect of getting less than 45% of the raw vote in New Hampshire? That happens rarely for a Republican nominee in a binary election.

You forget, this is ARG. You need to flip the winner and double the margin.
Logged
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: June 29, 2016, 12:22:55 PM »
Quote from: pbrower2a on June 29, 2016, 12:02:41 PM

For facing the prospect of getting less than 45% of the raw vote in New Hampshire? That happens rarely for a Republican nominee in a binary election.

If we take the results at face value, by my own personal crappy unscientific model, this puts Clinton ahead 5-6 points nationally, since I have NH rated at even to +1 D.
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,750
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: June 29, 2016, 12:33:47 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on June 29, 2016, 12:28:57 PM
Getting rejected by the disgusting and repulsive people of NH kinda makes me like Trump! Smiley

You should learn to love and respect yourself, then.
Logged
mds32
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,090
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: June 29, 2016, 01:54:26 PM »
Quote from: Holmes on June 29, 2016, 12:33:47 PM
Quote from: TN volunteer on June 29, 2016, 12:28:57 PM
Getting rejected by the disgusting and repulsive people of NH kinda makes me like Trump! Smiley

You should learn to love and respect yourself, then.

LOL
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: June 29, 2016, 02:10:53 PM »
Remind me why WI is a toss-up when Trump polls so much worse there than here. Sure, Hillary's ahead here, and I think she'll win, but she's up by low-mid single digits here, but consistently up by 9 or so in Wisconsin.
Logged
Seriously?
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,029
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: June 29, 2016, 09:01:41 PM »
Quote from: Castro on June 29, 2016, 12:10:02 PM
Quote from: pbrower2a on June 29, 2016, 12:02:41 PM

For facing the prospect of getting less than 45% of the raw vote in New Hampshire? That happens rarely for a Republican nominee in a binary election.

You forget, this is ARG. You need to flip the winner and double the margin.

ARRGGGHHHH!!! Flip the winner and throw it in the trash.
Logged
HAnnA MArin County
semocrat08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,039
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: July 07, 2016, 02:36:41 PM »
The angry misandrist women of New Hampshire strike again! 
Logged
Kingpoleon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,144
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: July 07, 2016, 10:28:52 PM »
ARG was correct about NH. It was basically spot on in the primaries.

I think they can do small states. With big states or when you don't like the results, give a bonus 25% to your candidate and move half of your opponent's into undecided.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.028 seconds with 12 queries.