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Author Topic: Election Odds  (Read 58103 times)
DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902


« on: November 29, 2003, 01:47:10 PM »

11.26.03

Bush's re-election chances: 70%

Bush v. each Dem major candidate:

John Kerry: 60%
Howard dean: 75%
John Edwards: 50%
Wesley clark: 55%
Joe Lieberman: 55%

I say 85% chance of Bush beating Dean.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902


« Reply #1 on: December 14, 2003, 01:06:43 PM »

Yep Bush's odds just went UP!

44/55 on Iraqi most wanted list gotten!  all winners in that!

I think Bushes reelection chances are around 70% now.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902


« Reply #2 on: December 14, 2003, 01:10:37 PM »

December 14, 2003

With the capture of Saddam Hussein in Tikrit, I will raise Bush's re-election chances from 70% to 80%.  This might take foreign policy off oif the table, leaving only.....cuts in overtime pay?  MEdicare?  Not much left for my party in 2004.
I agree that Saddam's capture raises Bush's re-election chances. However, I disagree that it leaves little for our party to use against President Bush. Three things we could use: Where are our Surpluses? Where are the 13 Million jobs that the Clinton Administration created? Oh, and what happened to the Education President? There have been cuts there too. I predict a Democratic Sweep in the State Houses and in the Congress. Even if Bush gets re-elected, he'll have to deal with a Democratic Majority in Both Houses of Congress.

Wishfull thinking on a day when the President scored a major victory.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902


« Reply #3 on: December 14, 2003, 02:02:22 PM »

I'm in agreement with Christopher Micheal on this one.

Why am I not surprised.  What is happening in the Dem primaries is the party purging the centrists and leaving only the insane left.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902


« Reply #4 on: December 14, 2003, 04:56:29 PM »

it was meant to be sarcastic--but it will be true also Smiley Smiley

No way Dems are taking Congress back, and definately not both Houses.

The house is lost to them and senate almost is.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902


« Reply #5 on: December 14, 2003, 04:59:58 PM »

Yeah waiting on Texas ruling.

Did you see Dems tryying to argue, well freshman GOP House members would result ina  loss of power for Texas, and so what legal argument is that?  Better to have career politicians then I guess, disgusting!

This is showing racism because who is being redistricted out is white dems.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902


« Reply #6 on: December 28, 2003, 02:24:24 PM »


Yes he will.  He is the insane lefts canidate.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902


« Reply #7 on: December 28, 2003, 02:38:39 PM »

Yes, unless something unforeseen happens, he is Mr. Democrat.

More like Mr. Far-Left.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902


« Reply #8 on: December 28, 2003, 06:26:50 PM »


Dean at one time may have been moderate but in the last five year (problely when decided to run for pres) he turned hard left.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902


« Reply #9 on: December 28, 2003, 06:53:45 PM »


Dean at one time may have been moderate but in the last five year (problely when decided to run for pres) he turned hard left.
He is not hard left, his rhetoric is.  There is a difference.  I think he is to the right of Kerry.

If he was right of Kerry then Kerry would be the frontrunner not Dean.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902


« Reply #10 on: December 28, 2003, 07:05:13 PM »


Dean at one time may have been moderate but in the last five year (problely when decided to run for pres) he turned hard left.
He is not hard left, his rhetoric is.  There is a difference.  I think he is to the right of Kerry.

If he was right of Kerry then Kerry would be the frontrunner not Dean.
Not true--Kerry voted for the war, which weakens his message.  Plus he is a "dead amn walking"...

That proves my point.  The only way that Dean could win the nom is that he ran a hard left campaign.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902


« Reply #11 on: December 28, 2003, 07:08:29 PM »


Dean at one time may have been moderate but in the last five year (problely when decided to run for pres) he turned hard left.
He is not hard left, his rhetoric is.  There is a difference.  I think he is to the right of Kerry.

If he was right of Kerry then Kerry would be the frontrunner not Dean.
Not true--Kerry voted for the war, which weakens his message.  Plus he is a "dead amn walking"...

That proves my point.  The only way that Dean could win the nom is that he ran a hard left campaign.
It does?  Dean is to the right of all the Dems economically.  The major candidates, anyway.

Not anymore.  It's tax increases id Dean is elected.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902


« Reply #12 on: December 29, 2003, 09:10:25 AM »


Dean at one time may have been moderate but in the last five year (problely when decided to run for pres) he turned hard left.
He is not hard left, his rhetoric is.  There is a difference.  I think he is to the right of Kerry.

If he was right of Kerry then Kerry would be the frontrunner not Dean.
Not true--Kerry voted for the war, which weakens his message.  Plus he is a "dead amn walking"...

That proves my point.  The only way that Dean could win the nom is that he ran a hard left campaign.
It does?  Dean is to the right of all the Dems economically.  The major candidates, anyway.

Not anymore.  It's tax increases id Dean is elected.

Are you guys biulding another pyramid?

not intentionally.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902


« Reply #13 on: December 29, 2003, 09:27:25 AM »

Do any of you actually realise what Hard Left actually is?(see: www.pcf.fr, www.pds.de)

I visit sites like the democratic underground and the daily kos.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902


« Reply #14 on: December 29, 2003, 09:41:23 AM »

How is it possible to say that studenty left-liberals are anything like Officially HARD LINE  COMMUNIST/MARXIST-LENINIST/STALINIST organisations?

I listen to them speak.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902


« Reply #15 on: December 29, 2003, 09:54:57 AM »

You really have no idea do you?
The PCF's official program is a:

DICTATORSHIP OF THE PROLETARIET

The Hard Left is very Illiberal and is not liberal at all.

Please i have seen them gather and speak.  And they sound like Stalins foot soliders.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902


« Reply #16 on: December 29, 2003, 11:45:01 AM »


It can be spelt both ways... I'm sure of this Smiley
(why did Marx use weird words? Sad )

Because he wasn't on the right side of sane.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902


« Reply #17 on: December 29, 2003, 12:28:32 PM »


It can be spelt both ways... I'm sure of this Smiley
(why did Marx use weird words? Sad )

Because he wasn't on the right side of sane.

Have you ever actually read anything by Marx before?
I have and Das Kapital is excellent for historical research.

Just because it's good historical referance does not mean he was sane.
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