NV-Monmouth: Clinton +4 (user search)
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  NV-Monmouth: Clinton +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NV-Monmouth: Clinton +4  (Read 2672 times)
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xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 30,303
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Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« on: July 11, 2016, 12:25:10 PM »
Sorry, Trump's not winning NV. Obama's polls were actually weaker than this in 2012.
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xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: July 11, 2016, 02:52:02 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on July 11, 2016, 01:32:56 PM
Quote from: Likely Voter on July 11, 2016, 12:54:44 PM
In the last 3 cycles pollsters have got Nevada wrong more than any other state, averaging 4-6 points over-estimating the Rs. 

You realize that Republican candidates in Nevada in 2014 outperformed the polls by a lot, right?

I'd sooner look to years where there were competitive races in Nevada as a basis for predictions this year, rather than a year when Democrats put up no effort in the state. In 2008, 2010, and 2012, polls underestimated Democrats, often by a lot.
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