NV-Monmouth: Heck+2

[Know Nothing]

https ://twitter.com/sahilkapur/status/752549133114830848

Don't have the full poll right now.

Joe Heck (R): 42%
Catherine Cortez Masto (D): 40%

[Heisenberg]

Excellent news! Let's go Joe!

[windjammer]

Masto is going to win this race. No way she loses when Clinton will win by a 10+ margin.

[Gass3268]

Awful number for Heck.

[Xing]

Heck's probably going to have to overperform Trump by more than 6 if he's going to win. If Heck is consistently only up by 1-3 points, that's concerning to him in a state like NV.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Clinton's not going to win NV by 4 and Heck is not going to win this election.  Climbing Catherine marches on.

I look forward to seeing how under-sampled content NV Hispanics were when the full poll is out.

[Gass3268]

Lol, it was an English only poll.

http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_NV_071116/
http://www.monmouth.edu/WorkArea/DownloadAsset.aspx?id=40802209093

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Problematic to poll in Nevada English only...

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

That explains it.  Content NV Hispanics would never bother to answer such a racist poll.

[Kingpoleon]

http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_NV_071116/

Among Whites: Heck +12 (47-35)   vs. Trump +12 (49-37)
Among Non-Whites: Masto +20 (49-29) vs. Clinton +41 (64-23)

66% White  
11% Black  
15% Hispanic
  8% Other  

Considering that even that terrible human being Shelley freaking Berkley almost won here in 2012, it's probably still a difficult race for the GOP to win.

VanDerBeek is not running a far-right campaign to get 5% this time.

[IceSpear]

Dems can't afford to take this race for granted, that's for sure.

http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_NV_071116/

Among Whites: Heck +12 (47-35)   vs. Trump +12 (49-37)
Among Non-Whites: Masto +20 (49-29) vs. Clinton +41 (64-23)

66% White 
11% Black 
15% Hispanic
  8% Other 

Considering that even that terrible human being Shelley freaking Berkley almost won here in 2012, it's probably still a difficult race for the GOP to win.

VanDerBeek is not running a far-right campaign to get 5% this time.

Nobody knew who VanDerBeek was, much less his ideology. Romney and Heller got nearly the same share of the vote. VDB and "None of the Above" were mostly protest votes from Obama voters who couldn't stomach Berkley. Any competent Democrat would've won that race with room to spare, as Heller demonstrated little to no crossover appeal.

Heck, on the other hand, has demonstrated some crossover appeal in his swing district, so he'll be a tougher nut to crack. But CCM is also a much better candidate than Berkley, and Heck will have to deal with Trump.

[The Arizonan]

Why all the hate for Shelley Berkley?

[Miles]

^ Because that was a very winnable race and a noncorrupt Democrat would have likely won.

[syntaxerror]

After the polls got Reid '10 sensationally wrong, and underestimated Obama '12 by almost 4 points, I'm not believing these numbers.

Clinton isn't +4 (it'll be more like +8-10), and if Heck is only outpacing Trump by +2, it isn't enough.

Also have big doubts about Latino representation in this poll.

[Free Bird]

Safe to say the winner of this race will be the party of the winner of the Prez election?

[publicunofficial]

Safe to say the winner of this race will be the party of the winner of the Prez election?

Safer to say it'll be the same as the winner of Prez race in Nevada.

[Maxwell]

Heck's number isn't great, but I'm worried about this race - Heck probably runs ahead of Trump, the question is by how much?

Such a shame Harry Reid decided to retire.