Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 16, 2019, 04:21:51 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Be sure to enable your "Ultimate Profile" for even more goodies on your profile page!

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
| | | | |-+  OnMessage FL: Trump +2
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: OnMessage FL: Trump +2  (Read 1185 times)
HillOfANight
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,474
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: July 11, 2016, 02:03:02 pm »

http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/florida-poll-trump-has-narrow-lead-over-clinton/2284961

http://letsgettowork.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/LGTW_Statewide_Topline_Deck.pdf

Trump 47
Clinton 45
Undecided/Other 8

Quote
Democratic strategist Steve Schale (Obama's 2012 Florida guy) questioned the findings, nothing that pollsters did not release demographics.
« Last Edit: July 11, 2016, 03:30:44 pm by HillOfANight »Logged
Joni Ernst 20∞
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,359
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: July 11, 2016, 02:05:53 pm »

A GOP pollster, so take it with a grain of salt.

FL could be the showdown state in 2016, especially since the Clinton campaign is trying to make it their firewall this year.
Logged

populist neoliberal elitist corporatist polarized record levels polarization elastic inelastic elasticity inelasticity college-educated fiscally conservative socially liberal moderate reasonable wwc



Countdown timer to Joni Ernst's victory speech
President Johnson
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,969
Germany


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: July 11, 2016, 02:15:09 pm »

Fantastic news! Even if it is a GOP pollster, Big Don is certainly not behind. A pure toss-up.
Logged

Pragmatic Democrat. Socially liberal, economically/fiscally moderate.

Favorite president: Lyndon B. Johnson
Best president we never had: Nelson Rockefeller

TL: The liberal Republic

STEVE BULLOCK FOR PRESIDENT 2020!

dspNY
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,593
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: July 11, 2016, 02:21:14 pm »

Rick Scott with positive approval ratings? Who did they poll, Rick Scott's family and friends?
Logged
Gass3268
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,551
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: July 11, 2016, 02:21:31 pm »

Rick Scott with a +7 approval rating seems off.
Logged

Ranked Preferences for Announced Democratic Nominees:

1. Warren
2. Harris
3. Klobuchar
4. Gillibrand
5. Castro
6. Buttigieg
7. Booker
8. Delaney
9. Gabbard
Ljube
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,343
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: July 11, 2016, 02:24:13 pm »

Rick Scott with a +7 approval rating seems off.

Why? Because the two of you don't like Rick Scott?
Logged
Gass3268
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,551
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: July 11, 2016, 02:27:18 pm »

Rick Scott with a +7 approval rating seems off.

Why? Because the two of you don't like Rick Scott?


Last PPP had him at -9 and that is much more consistent with his historical numbers.
Logged

Ranked Preferences for Announced Democratic Nominees:

1. Warren
2. Harris
3. Klobuchar
4. Gillibrand
5. Castro
6. Buttigieg
7. Booker
8. Delaney
9. Gabbard
Ebsy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,708
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: July 11, 2016, 02:31:37 pm »

Who are these guys?
Logged
President Johnson
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,969
Germany


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: July 11, 2016, 02:34:02 pm »

Rick Scott with a +7 approval rating seems off.

Why? Because the two of you don't like Rick Scott?


Last PPP had him at -9 and that is much more consistent with his historical numbers.

I think his numbers were underwater almost ever since he took office. I still wonder how this guy managed his reelection in 2014.
Logged

Pragmatic Democrat. Socially liberal, economically/fiscally moderate.

Favorite president: Lyndon B. Johnson
Best president we never had: Nelson Rockefeller

TL: The liberal Republic

STEVE BULLOCK FOR PRESIDENT 2020!

michelle
MikeWells12
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,892
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: July 11, 2016, 02:36:38 pm »

GOP pollster? No demographics? Weird Scott approvals? Sure.
Logged
Fusionmunster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,492


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: July 11, 2016, 02:37:13 pm »

Rick Scott with a +7 approval rating seems off.

Why? Because the two of you don't like Rick Scott?


Him bieng above water would be surprising but not that surprising. Him bieng almost 10 points above water with no demographic breakdown leads me to belive this poll has a heavy R-bias.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15,156
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: July 11, 2016, 02:50:32 pm »

I mean, this poll isn't necessarily inaccurate, but saying that Florida must be tied or that Trump is ahead is quite inaccurate, if you look at the polling average.
Logged

yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,773
Venezuela


Political Matrix
E: 3.29, S: -1.30

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: July 11, 2016, 03:23:03 pm »

To be fair, Morning Consult found Scott's approval to be +9 like 2 months ago.
Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
sjkqw
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,787
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: July 11, 2016, 04:45:51 pm »

Uhh, I hate Rick Scott more than every governor in this country, but PPP is well-known for their high unfavorable for everybody compared to just about any other pollster. A -9 there might as well be even.
Logged

Fashion. Football. Furniture Shopping.
LIPINSKI * LYNCH * LAMB
Vote for Cuomo not the homo!

One True Passion: the timeline
The Hottest PG-13 Tale Allowed on the Atlas Forum



McKinsey Material 😍😍😍
Seriously?
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,036
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: July 11, 2016, 05:03:36 pm »

To be fair, Morning Consult found Scott's approval to be +9 like 2 months ago.
I still don't know what a Morning Consult really is.

If Republican pollster, assume nothing other than Florida is close, as it is supposed to be this cycle.
Logged
Holmes
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,620
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: July 11, 2016, 07:26:12 pm »

To be fair, Morning Consult found Scott's approval to be +9 like 2 months ago.
I still don't know what a Morning Consult really is.

Me too...
Logged

Virginiá
Virginia C
Modadmin
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,693
Ukraine


P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: July 11, 2016, 07:28:10 pm »

To be fair, Morning Consult found Scott's approval to be +9 like 2 months ago.
I still don't know what a Morning Consult really is.

Me too...

what you call your first trip to the bathroom in the morning?
Logged

Human
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 466
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: July 11, 2016, 10:09:58 pm »

Donald Trump will get crushed in Florida. Junk poll!
Logged

Hi, I'm Human. I'm a center-left independent from Indiana who despises Donald Trump and supports Hillary Clinton for president. Any questions?

Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines